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Reagan's Economic Formula vs. The Tea Party's
1. Reagan Spent Heavily To Create Public Sector Jobs. During the 1981 Reagan recession, the government increased spending 7.5 times more than the current recession, even though the current recession is more than twice as bad.
Increase in Government Spending During Recessions.
1981 = 15.8%
1990 = 0.4%
2001 = 10.2%
2007 = 2.1%
2. Even Though This Recession Is Much Worse Than Reagans.
Comparative Depth of Recessions: Employment Drop:
1981 = -3.1%
1990 = -1.3%
2001 = -2.0%
2007 = -6.3%
Comparative Depth of Recessions: Industrial Output Drop:
1981 = -2.7%
1990 = -1.3%
2001 = 0.3%
2007 = -5.1%
3. Public Sector Jobs Lost. Because government spending during the recession was so much lower than during the Reagan recession, we've lost public sector jobs even while private sector jobs grew.
Jobs created since the end of the recession:
Private Jobs: 8.8 million
Public Jobs: -846,000.
4. Reagan Created More Public Sector Jobs. When Reagan increased spending 7.5 times more in 1981, he saved millions of Public Sector Jobs and created even more:
Public Sector Jobs created under Reagan:
3.6 million.
Percent Increase in Public Sector jobs 31 months after the end of the Recession:
1981 = 3.4%
1990 = 2.9%
2001 = 1.3%
2007 = -3.1%
5. The Loss Of Public Jobs Slows The Recovery From A Recession. Reagan's economists understood that if you you are losing large numbers of public jobs even while the private sector is creating them, you unnecessarily slow recovery. That's why he spent so heavily.
6. Every President And Congress Increased Government Jobs. For the last 75 years, every President and every Congress has increase the number of public sector jobs
Truman = 8.8%
Eisenhower = 24.0%
Kennedy/Johnson = 41.3%
Nixon/Ford = 24.1%
Carter = 8.6%
Reagan = 8.3%
Bush-I = 6.4%
Clinton = 10.2%
Bush-II = 8.4%
Obama = -3.1%
7. If We Had Followed Reagan's Lead, Unemployment Would Be 4.3%. For every 1.5 million new jobs created, the Unemployment percentage drops about 1%. That means that if had followed Reagan's policy of spending heavily on public sector jobs, we'd have 3.6 million more public sector jobs. That translates into 2.4% lower unemployment or a current unemployment rate of 4.3%
http://www.epi.org/publication/public-sector-job-l...
http://www.epi.org/blog/ronald-reagan-recession-re...
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/...
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/USGOVT.t...
http://www.bls.gov/webapps/legacy/cpsatab1.htm
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Reagan's Economic Formula vs. The Tea Party's
1. Reagan Spent Heavily To Create Public Sector Jobs. During the 1981 Reagan recession, the government increased spending 7.5 times more than the current recession, even though the current recession is more than twice as bad.
Increase in Government Spending During Recessions.
1981 = 15.8%
1990 = 0.4%
2001 = 10.2%
2007 = 2.1%
2. Even Though This Recession Is Much Worse Than Reagans.
Comparative Depth of Recessions: Employment Drop:
1981 = -3.1%
1990 = -1.3%
2001 = -2.0%
2007 = -6.3%
Comparative Depth of Recessions: Industrial Output Drop:
1981 = -2.7%
1990 = -1.3%
2001 = 0.3%
2007 = -5.1%
3. Public Sector Jobs Lost. Because government spending during the recession was so much lower than during the Reagan recession, we've lost public sector jobs even while private sector jobs grew.
Jobs created since the end of the recession:
Private Jobs: 8.8 million
Public Jobs: -846,000.
4. Reagan Created More Public Sector Jobs. When Reagan increased spending 7.5 times more in 1981, he saved millions of Public Sector Jobs and created even more:
Public Sector Jobs created under Reagan:
3.6 million.
Percent Increase in Public Sector jobs 31 months after the end of the Recession:
1981 = 3.4%
1990 = 2.9%
2001 = 1.3%
2007 = -3.1%
5. The Loss Of Public Jobs Slows The Recovery From A Recession. Reagan's economists understood that if you you are losing large numbers of public jobs even while the private sector is creating them, you unnecessarily slow recovery. That's why he spent so heavily.
6. Every President And Congress Increased Government Jobs. For the last 75 years, every President and every Congress has increase the number of public sector jobs
Truman = 8.8%
Eisenhower = 24.0%
Kennedy/Johnson = 41.3%
Nixon/Ford = 24.1%
Carter = 8.6%
Reagan = 8.3%
Bush-I = 6.4%
Clinton = 10.2%
Bush-II = 8.4%
Obama = -3.1%
7. If We Had Followed Reagan's Lead, Unemployment Would Be 4.3%. For every 1.5 million new jobs created, the Unemployment percentage drops about 1%. That means that if had followed Reagan's policy of spending heavily on public sector jobs, we'd have 3.6 million more public sector jobs. That translates into 2.4% lower unemployment or a current unemployment rate of 4.3%
http://www.epi.org/publication/public-sector-job-l...
http://www.epi.org/blog/ronald-reagan-recession-re...
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/...
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/USGOVT.t...
http://www.bls.gov/webapps/legacy/cpsatab1.htm
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