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Bonds readying to advance?
- Thread starter gharghur2
- Start date
Hi!
I believe this advance should top somewhere betwen 115 and 115.75. Then, that should be it for the Bond market for quite a while.
Just finished an extensive analysis of the Bond market and inversely Interest Rates. My conclusion is that the 24-year Supercycle bear market in interest rates concluded in June, 2005. And, Interest Rates are now in a bull market. I just posted the report on my blog:
http://spaces.msn.com/members/caldaroEW/
Here's a chart that displays the low in June 2005 and the subsequent impulse waves up since then...
I believe this advance should top somewhere betwen 115 and 115.75. Then, that should be it for the Bond market for quite a while.
Just finished an extensive analysis of the Bond market and inversely Interest Rates. My conclusion is that the 24-year Supercycle bear market in interest rates concluded in June, 2005. And, Interest Rates are now in a bull market. I just posted the report on my blog:
http://spaces.msn.com/members/caldaroEW/
Here's a chart that displays the low in June 2005 and the subsequent impulse waves up since then...
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Quote from gharghur2:
Hi!
I believe this advance should top somewhere betwen 115 and 115.75. Then, that should be it for the Bond market for quite a while.
Just finished an extensive analysis of the Bond market and inversely Interest Rates. My conclusion is that the 24-year Supercycle bear market in interest rates concluded in June, 2005. And, Interest Rates are now in a bull market. I just posted the report on my blog:
http://spaces.msn.com/members/caldaroEW/
Here's a chart that displays the low in June 2005 and the subsequent impulse waves up since then...
Interesting theory, contrary to most economists... How high do you think inflation will go?
Quote from landboy:
Interesting theory, contrary to most economists... How high do you think inflation will go?
I don't know enough even to make a guess about inflation.
Just read the waves ~~~~~
Spent this morning analyzing the Crude market.
The bull run there is far from over.
We'd be lucky if it stops in the mid $90's
Bernanke's in for the time of his life.
Quote from gharghur2:
I don't know enough even to make a guess about inflation.
Just read the waves ~~~~~
Spent this morning analyzing the Crude market.
The bull run there is far from over.
We'd be lucky if it stops in the mid $90's
Bernanke's in for the time of his life.
I would think oil too... Plus maybe, and this is a long term play, if too much supply hits the market due to increased deficits by the Gov drives up yields to compensate...
Quote from landboy:
I would think oil too... Plus maybe, and this is a long term play, if too much supply hits the market due to increased deficits by the Gov drives up yields to compensate...
Exactly! There could be substantial deficits...
Finished analyzing the Gold market, and not liking what I see there either. On to the Dollar next. Here's an interesting side point:
After the supercycle decline of 1929 - 1932, we had a cyclical bull market in stocks from 1932 - 1937. We just had another supercycle decline 2000 - 2002, and are in a cyclical bull market 2002 - 2006+.
My point is: after the top in March 1937 the stock market didn't see that level again until January 1946! For nearly eleven years it meandered under the recovery high. If this continues to play out, and we top in 2007, there has to be fundamental economic factors to put a lid on stocks. Barring a world war, no one left to fight. I have to resort to the other era when stocks had a lid on them: 1973 - 1983. And, I'm sure you know what that means.
Anyway, none of this comes into my analysis of the individual markets. They all have to perform on their own merits, or demerits LOL. Interesting times, as always