Bond Trader 2007

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Could be a mistake. Still holding the ZB's. I will exit at 106 31 if we get there. If not I'll try for 107 00 to 107 01.

0907 Order in to sell ZN's at 105 110.

0908 ZN order cancelled. We already dipped. Missed the trade.

0909 Half of half of remaining ZB's sold at 106 31. Holding 1/4 of orginal order.

0911 Out of everything now. Flat. Boss is calling. Got to go. In conclusion, I don't have the exact figure in front of me, but I was down at least 500 USD maybe more, now I'm up a few hundred. I think I may call it a day, and watch TV with the boss.

Good Trading!
 
0933 CST I got back from my TV entertainment and I notice that we broke very significant hourly turning point support.

Sold 2 ZB 106 28. Target is 106 21.
 
BTW, nice head fake spike to 106 30. Since I was off my game earlier this AM, and since I've been fortunate to take some profit out of today considering the initial chop as well as the chop now, I think it best to call it a day.
 
Quote from johnpinochet:

Pre-market observations for Thursday 12 July 2007

No bias. On both the hourly and the 5 min we are at a place of support according to my turning point S/R and my price projection numbers. If I had to pick I would say that we might be buying on dips but I won't make a move until the 0730 reports are out.

Turning point times:

0700 0728 0748 0800 0828 0848 0924 1024 1100

The important times appear to be 0728 0830 0930 and 1030, give or take 1 - 2 minutes.
More...

Here are the times I designated as important.
 

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Quote from johnpinochet:

Late post: I sold ZB's at 107 06. Looking for break of lows at a minimum. If we spike back up to 107 10 again, I am done for the day.
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Didn't know how far that one would go.
 
Quote from johnpinochet:

0933 CST I got back from my TV entertainment and I notice that we broke very significant hourly turning point support.

Sold 2 ZB 106 28. Target is 106 21.
More...

Per my post I took myself out at 106 27 when the players were messing with the price taking us no further than 106 25 (I don't have the chart in front of me) and then spiking up to 106 30 in a false move.

Looking over my trades from yesterday, I see I left a remarkable amount of money on the table. Excellent entries. It all goes back to the question, how many ticks are you good for when you make the call? My range used to be 4 - 6. This week it has been much higher. Years ago I developed a system to buy/sell at a single pre-determined price prior to the market open. I wouldn't even look at the market during trading hours. I would see how things went at the close. I would always get out MOC if my profit stop didn't get hit. This system worked remarkably well for awhile. Perhaps now that I am able to watch the market for 3 - 4 hours, I should look into that system again. The idea being to get back to taking a longer range move.
 
0426 CST Sold 2 ZB 106 23. We are coming up against solid resistance here at 106 24 to 106 26.

Pre-market commentary for Friday 13 July 2007

I have a short bias and I will be looking to short all retracements to 106 26, or 106 28.

My hourly and daily turning point charts are negative. My 5 min turning point chart is positive but this is a sell signal within the larger trend.

Important times for today are:

0615 0644 0724 0800 0820 0924 1004 1104 1132 1204

The most important times begin with 0724 and end with 1204.

For me though the times that are of particular interest are:

0724 0924 and especially 1132. Look for something to happen at 1132. It has a strange appearance. If all goes according to plan we will have a strong move at these three times.

Important numbers:

107 27
107 19
107 12
107 00

106 24
106 20
105 31

As always with two 0730 reports on a Friday, I will be very cautious and probably exit prior to report depending on market activity at 0720.
 
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