Bond Trader 2007

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The 30 seems to have support on the YIELD chart @ 4.8%.
I will trade these 2 ways as I see 'em, FLAT in here!

Good Trading!


el surdo
 
0840 CST I'm thinking of a short somewhere around 111 20, but not confirmed yet. I'm reoptimizing my net right now. The looks of the chart combined with a close time will make me consider the trade. Even so, I'll look at buying somewhere between 111 04 and 111 13.
 
0843 CST The net didn't return anything tradeable. The time is somewhere around 1100 to 1130 hrs for a sell, but it is not a solid prediction.

I think part of the above has to do with the change I talked about a few days ago when i mentioned the best time to sell will become a best time to buy.

Allow me to clarify, I don't mean that a best time to sell, say 0950, will become a best time to buy. I mean that a best time to sell will cease to exist. Instead you will have a best time to buy, but it could be anytime of the day depending on what the net determines.
 
Quote from johnpinochet:

0843 CST The net didn't return anything tradeable. The time is somewhere around 1100 to 1130 hrs for a sell, but it is not a solid prediction.

I think part of the above has to do with the change I talked about a few days ago when i mentioned the best time to sell will become a best time to buy.

Allow me to clarify, I don't mean that a best time to sell, say 0950, will become a best time to buy. I mean that a best time to sell will cease to exist. Instead you will have a best time to buy, but it could be anytime of the day depending on what the net determines.
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by saying that "the best time to sell will cease to exist" do you imply that bonds will go only up from here?:confused:
 
Quote from dhpar:

by saying that "the best time to sell will cease to exist" do you imply that bonds will go only up from here?:confused:
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Goodness, no, not at all. Consider this "best time" stuff to be the money shot of the day. That's all. Keep in mind that I don't blindly buy or sell off of it. I carefully consider where we are in the long term trend (1 hour and daily), and where we are with S/R.
 
0854 CST Trying to short ZB at 111 17. Shorted 4 ZN at 108 030 to get started.

0855 CST Short 2 ZB at 111 17.

Targets:

111 13

107 315

Outlier target:

111 06 or lower

107 290 or lower
 
Quote from johnpinochet:

Goodness, no, not at all. Consider this "best time" stuff to be the money shot of the day. That's all. Keep in mind that I don't blindly buy or sell off of it. I carefully consider where we are in the long term trend, and where we are with S/R.
More...
Thanks - I started to have a feeling that I am missing something :)

my personal opinion is that this rally was a preparation for the next week (scary data and likely to come below concensus).
 
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