Congrats on an excellent day and thanks for the excellent posts.
luc
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Bond Trader 2006
- Thread starter johnpinochet
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Congrats on an excellent day and thanks for the excellent posts.
luc
If you went short around 0915, I hope you exited with a minimum 5 tick profit! Never let the market come back to your entry. An entry at 0915 5 minute bar would have been around 105 21 or so. A good exit would have been 105 16.
(Thanks luc!)
(Thanks luc!)
Thursday 06 July 2006
Today we have (CST):
Monster Employment Index
0500
BOE Announcement
0600
MBA Purchase Applications
0600
Challenger Job-Cut Report
0630
ECB Announcement
0645
Jobless Claims
0730
ISM Non-Mfg Survey
0900
Pending Home Sales Index
0900
EIA Petroleum Status Report
0930
Consider the activity this week any of these reports could have a market impact. Keep these reports in mind as you trade. As always, the 0730 report usually has the most impact, however, we have been getting a lot of market activity pre-open. The way I see it the following times will be important: 0500, 0630, 0730 and 0900.
Price projection numbers:
106 28
106 20
106 15
106 03
105 28 ***This is a cluster. 105 28 is the most important.***
105 26
105 24
105 12
Tipping Hand Prices:
106 10
105 20
105 12
No bias today. Market really solidified from yesterday's lows. So there is some strength. Bottom line I think there will be a significant 10 - 12 tick trade prior to the market open at 0720.
Today we have (CST):
Monster Employment Index
0500
BOE Announcement
0600
MBA Purchase Applications
0600
Challenger Job-Cut Report
0630
ECB Announcement
0645
Jobless Claims
0730
ISM Non-Mfg Survey
0900
Pending Home Sales Index
0900
EIA Petroleum Status Report
0930
Consider the activity this week any of these reports could have a market impact. Keep these reports in mind as you trade. As always, the 0730 report usually has the most impact, however, we have been getting a lot of market activity pre-open. The way I see it the following times will be important: 0500, 0630, 0730 and 0900.
Price projection numbers:
106 28
106 20
106 15
106 03
105 28 ***This is a cluster. 105 28 is the most important.***
105 26
105 24
105 12
Tipping Hand Prices:
106 10
105 20
105 12
No bias today. Market really solidified from yesterday's lows. So there is some strength. Bottom line I think there will be a significant 10 - 12 tick trade prior to the market open at 0720.
0831 Sold 2 ZB 105 28. Consider stop at 105 31. Looking for 105 20.
Update 0836
May get stopped out. Fairly narrow range today.
Update 0838
Cycle time coming up at 0855, just before 0900 report.
Update 0839
Stopped out.
Update 0836
May get stopped out. Fairly narrow range today.
Update 0838
Cycle time coming up at 0855, just before 0900 report.
Update 0839
Stopped out.
If prices consolidate back to 106 03 to 106 06, look to buy for a second attempt at the high of 106 10.
I see prices testing 106 18 today.
So far I haven't done a second trade today.
I see prices testing 106 18 today.
So far I haven't done a second trade today.
0944 Bought 2 ZB 106 06.
First target is 106 13 followed by 106 18.
Price lethargy and failure to penetrate 106 10 will lead to a probable reversal, i.e. go short.
First target is 106 13 followed by 106 18.
Price lethargy and failure to penetrate 106 10 will lead to a probable reversal, i.e. go short.
1021 We are at 106 07. Let's see what this move from the low of 106 03 will do.
1035 is an important cycle time.
1043 Looking for at least 106 10. Watch carefully when prices approach that number, if strong then target stays at 106 13 followed by 106 18. If weak, consider exiting everything at 106 10 or better.
1035 is an important cycle time.
1043 Looking for at least 106 10. Watch carefully when prices approach that number, if strong then target stays at 106 13 followed by 106 18. If weak, consider exiting everything at 106 10 or better.
11:10 Closed ZB's at 106 07 for 1 tick profit.
Notice the time above and the time the trade was initiated.
One hour and 30 minutes of nothing. So, for those of you thinking about doing this full-time. Ask yourself how you will feel about a day like today? You have to go through days like today to get a day like yesterday or Friday of last week. Unfortunately, a day like today is a lot more common than a day like Friday of last week.
Done for today.
Notice the time above and the time the trade was initiated.
One hour and 30 minutes of nothing. So, for those of you thinking about doing this full-time. Ask yourself how you will feel about a day like today? You have to go through days like today to get a day like yesterday or Friday of last week. Unfortunately, a day like today is a lot more common than a day like Friday of last week.
Done for today.
Trade of the day looks to have been going long around 0905 CST. You could have gotten 106 00 to 106 03. You would have exited at the Tipping Hand number 106 10 (or 106 09 if your limit didn't get hit).
Friday 07 July 2006
Today we have (CST):
Employment Situation
0730
EIA Natural Gas Report
0930
I really didn't like the lack of follow through action to the higher numbers yesterday. The run up was weak. The 60 minute ZB looks weak. My bias is short. As always, it depends on the 0730 report and whether it confirms the ADP report from earlier in the week.
Price projection numbers:
106 28
106 20
106 15
106 03
105 28 ***This is a cluster. 105 28 is the most important.***
105 26
105 24
105 12
Tipping Hand Prices:
106 10
105 20
105 12
Today we have (CST):
Employment Situation
0730
EIA Natural Gas Report
0930
I really didn't like the lack of follow through action to the higher numbers yesterday. The run up was weak. The 60 minute ZB looks weak. My bias is short. As always, it depends on the 0730 report and whether it confirms the ADP report from earlier in the week.
Price projection numbers:
106 28
106 20
106 15
106 03
105 28 ***This is a cluster. 105 28 is the most important.***
105 26
105 24
105 12
Tipping Hand Prices:
106 10
105 20
105 12
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