Bond rally nearing an end?

Quote from steveosborne:

I liquidated my short positions held since early January. I don't think we reached the bottom yet but I'm getting conflicting signals and interpretations that make me uncomfortable.
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Nothing wrong with taking a profit :)
 
Quote from gharghur2:

Nothing wrong with taking a profit :)
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It definitely makes it easier to get out. But you got in at an even better level: 115+. That was perfect. Maybe you'll also get out at a better level.

Looking forward to the next trade.
 
Quote from gharghur2:

Nothing wrong with taking a profit :)
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"They say you never grow poor taking profits. No, you don't. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point profit in a bull market." Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator.pdf
 
Quote from newbunch:

"They say you never grow poor taking profits. No, you don't. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point profit in a bull market." Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator.pdf
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Let your profits ride, cut your losses short...

Still holding...
 
What happened to all the steepeners?!! A week ago all I heard was the insti's playing the 10-30s, and within a couple days all I hear is they're bailing on me!! I'm not one to break against the trend, but this is ridiculous.... There should be a reasonable resistence level especially at the 30 levels, but I guess after the last auction all bets are off for more volatility...

Have a nice long weekend!
 
Quote from newbunch:

"They say you never grow poor taking profits. No, you don't. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point profit in a bull market." Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator.pdf
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You've got to know when to hold them
You've got to know when to fold them
You've got to know when to walk away
You've got to know when to run

Jessie Livermoore is my favourite followed closely by Gerald M Loeb: "Only trade when it is like picking up money off the floor"

I like old mr. Patridge (Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator): "Oh no, I cannot get out, I would loose my position. It is a bull market ya know"

Maria
 
Quote from bali_survivor:

You've got to know when to hold them
You've got to know when to fold them
You've got to know when to walk away
You've got to know when to run

Jessie Livermoore is my favourite followed closely by Gerald M Loeb: "Only trade when it is like picking up money off the floor"

I like old mr. Patridge (Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator): "Oh no, I cannot get out, I would loose my position. It is a bull market ya know"

Maria
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Still short ... and not discouraged by the volatility.
Retest 113-17 ???
It's a bull market in rates, ya know! :)
 
Quote from gharghur2:

"The big story, however, was the refunding and the demand for the 30yr Bond, which drove rates back down to the 4.5% level. This creates a total yield inversion between the 2yr, 10yr and 30yr: 4.69% - 4.58% - 4.54%. This has not occurred in five years, the last time we had a recession. Posting a 30yr chart of the history of this type of event. I'm not a bond expert by no means, but many are stating that the rules have changed and the yield inversion is going to be a normal phenomenon into the foreseeable future. I seem to recall the same statement about the dotcom's in the late 1990's before nearly everything went bust. We'll keep an eye on this yield inversion."
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According to the picture we may "muddle along" for another number of years in a sideways market.

:cool:
 
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