Bond rally nearing an end?

newbunch,

If you trade online, there may be a formula that your broker uses to assess your ability to cover a short sale (i.e. your liquidity and size of your account etc.)

they will give you that messege in leu of telling you that they dont think you know what you're doing....or that they dont think you have enough to cover in the event of a melt up...

in short, they dont want to be on the hook if you cant cover etc.....

I get the same treatment occasionally...
 
Quote from newbunch:

I tried shorting some TLT but IB says "There is insufficient TLT available for short sale." Anybody know how often this happens? I know that shorting the big ETFs is normally quite easy.
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That's happened to me too, and I was already short!
Guess there are a lot of Bond players out there that use the TLT as a hedge ???
 
Quote from mcurto:

2 to 1 payout enough for me. I was just looking for a one day play, if not I would have sold end of today for maybe 2 or 3 ticks. About 5000 4's traded I think, maybe a bit less.
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Oh, disappointed. Thought you were putting on an explosion spread to the downside.
Bonds have lost that loving feeling!
 
Quote from newbunch:

I tried shorting some TLT but IB says "There is insufficient TLT available for short sale." Anybody know how often this happens? I know that shorting the big ETFs is normally quite easy.
More...

This has been written about here:

"Shorting ETFs: The Little Guy Gets The Shaft Again"
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=48089

Just curious, I'm not up on the financial ETF's. Is there an inverse bond ETF, i.e. does the reverse of the TLT? That would solve your problem. Actually according to the article, it would solve the problem for a lot of people.
 
I have had some luck by calling my broker to get a short sale done when the online interface gives me a "cant locate shares to short" yada yada
 
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