Bond Futures

I have been struggling with my bond futures trading

and am wondering what indicators to look at

within the complex besides the cash yields?

I do try to see what the other derivatives are doing

outside of the complex as many times

a move in FX or Equities or even Oil Complex

will influence the Bond Complex
 
Well, Seth, therein lies the issue. Interest Rates aren't behaving. It's the REFUNDING! Don't ask me to explain.
 
Really struggling with an answer to this but does anyone know where i can pull up a calendar specifically related to Treasuries such as auctions or any other events (which are scheduled of course) that would cause spikes in the 10 year. Thank you so much in advance.
 
Quote from sammybea:

Really struggling with an answer to this but does anyone know where i can pull up a calendar specifically related to Treasuries such as auctions or any other events (which are scheduled of course) that would cause spikes in the 10 year. Thank you so much in advance.
More...

I use Mizuho Securities calendar. They do participate in treasuries and agency markets so they usually include the auctions and treasury related events in their calendar..

http://www.lanston.com/
 
a classic A up early + late C down move today

As I am not currently a subscriber to the pivots

that define this ... I cannot be sure
 
range for mondays trading or even for the week?

seems to be solid support below 105 and

perhaps good resistance above 109 16/32
 
does anyone here make better $ daytrading the bonds / notes

as opposed to the sp500 / nas100 / dow futures?

I have been finding the bond complex much more

difficult to trade , perhaps due to the volatility and ranges
being so high recently

guess I am in over my head :mad:
 
Quote from SethArb:

does anyone here make better $ daytrading the bonds / notes

as opposed to the sp500 / nas100 / dow futures?

I have been finding the bond complex much more

difficult to trade , perhaps due to the volatility and ranges
being so high recently

guess I am in over my head :mad:
More...

It seems like bonds and currencies are geared more toward position traders entering off of daily or weekly signals and trailing a moving average stop loss.

1-3 day swings doen't seem as consistent as with equity indexes and the markets seem too choppy or illiquid for daytrading or scalping unless you are an exchange member. IMHO
 
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