like I posted before, the rallies in this downtrend are better plays now that VIX and put/call ratios are so high. Until those two come down, i am going to game the long plays and leave the shorts to late-comers. Once we rally then i will start shorting rallies. Too much bearishness sentiment this week http://lauristonletter.blogspot.com/
Your logic makes sense for a somewhat longer-term play than intraday. Curious why you wouldn't build a longer-term position. That said, can't blame you for not holding a long position overnight, been the certain kiss of death lately.