If we go below 1240, we might see a crash but not right now. If one was to look at the weekly or monthly change in prices, then this market is still in a Bull phase.
We might see S&P around 1240-1260 in few weeks but that still doesn't make it a bear market.
After we get to 1240, there are two possible scenarios.
1) The market cannot support 1240 and we enter a bear market.
2) The market bounces off at 1240 but in the next few months, it cannot break past 1330. Then the sell-off that we'll get is going to be severe. If we get a bounce at 1240, I'll look to buy.
Right now for retail traders with limited capital the best strategy is to short on a 3 day high but if you're long it is probably best to just liquidate at the market.
If someone was to put a gun to my head and ask me where we are headed, I'll probably say 1240----1160 and maybe 1060 before we get to 1330.