Black Monday ??

The panic rating on my program is higher than I have seen it since 2002. Still not in panic mode but getting closer. We need a bounce soon.
 
Here is the followup chart - 1987 big drop

I read somewhere that SP futures were 7% lower before the market opened Monday 930AM. From this chart - it looks like it may have gapped down 5% or so.

Also, even though it was a huge drop ... it only gave back a years worth of gains (we are trading at 1998/1999 levels on equity indexes now).

... i think we should be looking more closely at the 1989 real estate market crash ;)
 

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Why?

Let the jerks who've been shorting volatility feel the pain for a while!

Quote from MRWSM:

The panic rating on my program is higher than I have seen it since 2002. Still not in panic mode but getting closer. We need a bounce soon.
 
"it looks like we got some decent sized selloffs almost every year during tax week. The following week after these tax week selloffs were positive. I haven't done a serious analysis of this yet, just took a quick glance."



This has been a strong correlation in the past, I think it is due to people selling to pay tax that they still owe.
 
Monday is looking a little blackish in Japan right now, for what it's worth. The Nikkei was down about 3.5% last time I checked.
 
Quote from LondonUSTrader:


Question: when were the last 3 days in a row which were clear downtrend days and the Dow lost 100 points each day?

1/17/2003.

A complete list of such periods from 1997:
10/23/1997
08/27/1998
01/12/1999
08/26/1999
04/12/2000
08/28/2001
09/19/2001
06/19/2002
07/08/2002
07/18/2002
08/01/2002
01/17/2003
04/13/2004
 
Quote from aqtrader:

1/17/2003.

A complete list of such periods from 1997:
10/23/1997
08/27/1998
01/12/1999
08/26/1999
04/12/2000
08/28/2001
09/19/2001
06/19/2002
07/08/2002
07/18/2002
08/01/2002
01/17/2003
04/13/2004

good work.

Its both funny and scary how quickly people forget the pandemonium of 2002.

Senor Zen
 
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