Bitcoin Price Thread

Not wishful thinking, not hoping, it's pretty much guaranteed that bitcoin will hit $100k before eoy, 99.9988% chance
The probability given by the market to hit $100k by 12/31/2024 is rather 6.4% (binary call approximated by a vertical spread using the implied vol of the BTC future ETF).
 
I'll take the other side. Someone else in this thread said 90k by end of Aug. Another 70k by end of July. Been selling the rip unless it's ever used.

I'm happy for you if you've been making money, but these last 4 months of the halving year is very bullish for bitcoin...

Plus you really want to fight the Fed? Good luck nonetheless




The probability given by the market to hit $100k by 12/31/2024 is rather 6.4% (binary call approximated by a vertical spread using the implied vol of the BTC future ETF).

The probability based on my experience that bitcoin hits $100k by 12/31/2024 is 99.9988%
 
The probability based on my experience that bitcoin hits $100k by 12/31/2024 is 99.9988%
Probability based on experience is gut feel. And who cares about the fed or fiat, anyone who holds excess cash get what they deserve. Granted moving crypto around easily is a benefit
 
Probability based on experience is gut feel. And who cares about the fed or fiat, anyone who holds excess cash get what they deserve. Granted moving crypto around easily is a benefit

GXYOFR2WsAAp968
 
There is one of the biggest conferences coming up; Token2049 in Singapore on 18th, as well as the FOMC and Trump launching his shitcoin.

Also full moon on the 18th and end of summer a few days later (the cyclical nature).


Is this everything the bulls can come up with? Bitcoin bulls at this point lack both the horns and balls.

What's going on? Are we running out of grannies willing to buy into the ponzi scheme?
 
Today I almost fell out of my chair. Saw Peter Schiff start to turn very bullish on Bitcoin. Even he stated it was going to take off in a big way, though 'claims' this is because of the US dollar heading toward the collapse.


I feel like, if there is a top signal in... this has got to be it.
 

There is no free money in the markets, you have to put capital at risk

I already have 2 trade positions, meme coin $popcat and mstr call leaps

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...metric-risk-reward.379915/page-7#post-6018732

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/popcat


I am considering playing the perpetual futures again after the Fed meeting or perhaps in Uptober, as Septembull is a double-faced month could easily turn to Rektember if Fed is too coy with the money printing

The problem with going to your website link is I have no idea about counterparty risks on that site, slippage, and liquidity especially on options

Look into perpetual futures dex smart contract or a cex perp futures platform such as bybit (via vpn) nfa
 
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