My selling price is close to $5000 now. What are my changes for it to happen in the next 2 months, which is when I'll need the money? Can anyone calculate?
don't understand your question.
Is your average selling price $5000 (ie you already shorted bitcoin earlier)?
And you are hoping price to go lower and close position with profit?
well. It seems like price is hovering around 3200 to 4400 for past few weeks. soon price will break out of this range. will it break up or down ? no idea but overall there is downward bias.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusdWhere is the Bitcoin price at the moment?
I agreeevery bubble in history, without exception, ended with the price returning to where the bubble started.