Biden’s Polling Lead Over Trump Is Getting Seriously Large

[Tony Stark]

https://www.npr.org/2020/06/05/8700...cial-tensions-worse-after-george-floyds-death


Poll: Two-Thirds Think Trump Made Racial Tensions Worse After Floyd Was Killed

June 5, 202012:01 PM ET

As the country erupts in protests over police brutality and racism, two-thirds of Americans think President Trump has increased racial tensions in the U.S., according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll.

The poll offers a snapshot of a nation in upheaval after a video captured a Minneapolis police officer with his knee on the neck of a black man named George Floyd, who was pleading for his life before he died.

Overall, 67% said Trump has mostly increased racial tensions, including 92% of Democrats, 73% of independents, 88% of Africans Americans and 63% of whites.

Just 18% said he has decreased tensions, including 41% of Republicans. In fact, almost 6 in 10 Republicans believe he has either increased tensions (29%) or are not sure (30%). That's a finding the pollsters see as significant given how in lockstep Republicans have been with Trump on nearly everything.

"It's very unusual to see Republicans break when the name Trump is presented, but that is the case here," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted the poll.


The survey of 1,062 adults was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, after Trump's walk to St. John's Church in Washington, D.C., ahead of which law enforcement forcibly removed peaceful protesters. Also that Wednesday, retired Marine Gen. Jim Mattis, Trump's first defense secretary, released a statement criticizing the president.

Trump has threatened the use of military force against violent rioters, who are outnumbered by peaceful protesters and who the president has said dishonor Floyd's memory. A tweet of his that included the civil rights-era phrase "when the looting starts, the shooting starts" was flagged by Twitter as violating its policy against "glorifying violence."

 

[Tony Stark]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/05/politics/cnn-poll-of-polls-may-trump-biden/index.html

CNN Poll of Polls finds Biden leading Trump
By [URL='https://www.cnn.com/profiles/grace-sparks']Grace Sparks[/URL]
Updated 2:49 PM ET, Fri June 5, 2020



(CNN)A new CNN Poll of Polls shows 51% of registered voters nationwide back former Vice President Joe Biden, while 41% support President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential race.


The poll of polls includes the five most recent national telephone polls measuring the views of registered voters.

The new numbers represent a shift in Biden's favor since April, when the CNN Poll of Polls found support for Biden averaging 48%, while Trump averaged 43% support.

Three of the polls were conducted after the killing of George Floyd, which has sparked protests in Minneapolis and around the US over police brutality and racism against black Americans. The other two polls were conducted in May, as the country struggled with the coronavirus pandemic and debated whether the country should stay closed for the sake of the public health or reopen to boost the economy.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll found a decline in approval over how Trump is handling the coronavirus. In March, 51% approved while 45% disapprove. Now, 46% approve and 53% disapprove.

A new poll out from NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist College on Friday found most Americans (67%) think Trump's response to the demonstrations has increased tensions, while 18% think he has helped decrease them.

Most Democrats (92%) and independents (73%) say that Trump's response has largely inflamed tensions rather than soothed them. Republicans, for their part, don't uniformly see the President as someone who has decreased tensions. A plurality of Republicans (41%) say the President has done so, but 29% say he has increased tensions and 30% say they're just not sure what his response has done.

A Monmouth University national poll, out Wednesday and included in the Poll of Polls, found more voters trust Biden to handle race relations over Trump. A majority of registered voters (52%) said they had a great deal or some confidence in Biden to handle race relations while 40% said the same of Trump.

However, almost half (49%) of voters reported race relations wouldn't be a factor in their vote for president this year -- with 33% saying it would be a major factor and 17% a minor factor.

The CNN Poll of Polls is an average of the five most recent non-partisan, live-operator, national surveys on the general election matchup between Biden and Trump among registered voters. The Poll of Polls includes results from the NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist College poll conducted June 2 and 3, the Monmouth University poll conducted May 28 to June 1, the ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted May 25 to 28, the Fox News poll conducted May 17 to 20 and the Quinnipiac University poll conducted May 14 to 18. The Poll of Polls does not have a margin of sampling error.

This story has been updated to include the PBS Newshour/Marist College poll.

 

[Tsing Tao]

Democrats trying very hard to pump Biden up like crazy because they know that once this calms down and we have to go to a schedule Presidential campaign race complete with debates, Biden is sunk.

 

[gwb-trading]

Goldman Sachs sees a rising possibility of a 'blue wave' in the November elections, which poses a risk to corporate profitability and dividends
https://markets.businessinsider.com...ssibility-blue-wave-profits-2020-6-1029284963

• Goldman Sachs sees an increased possibility of a "blue wave" in the November elections, which could impact corporate profits and dividends.
• That could lead to a partial or full reversal of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act corporate tax reform legislation.
• "We estimate that a full reversal would lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26% and reduce our 2021 EPS forecast of $170 by $20 (11%) to $150," Goldman vice president of equity strategy Cole Hunter and chief US strategist David Kostin wrote in a Thursday note.

Goldman Sachs said the possibility of a "blue wave," or round of Democratic victories, is increasing ahead of the November 2020 elections.

"The 2020 election is just five months away, and prediction markets now price a 77%, 50%, and 51% likelihood of Democratic victories in the House, Senate, and presidential races, respectively," Goldman vice president of equity strategy Cole Hunter and chief US strategist David Kostin wrote in a Thursday note.

According to Goldman, that could lead to a partial or full reversal of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, sweeping corporate tax reform legislation. Rolling the legislation back or dashing it entirely would have a negative impact on the earnings and dividends of companies, Goldman said.

"We estimate that a full reversal would lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26% and reduce our 2021 EPS forecast of $170 by $20 (11%) to $150," Hunter and Kostin wrote.

Still, Goldman noted that high-tax-paying equities have actually outperformed their low-tax peers since March – gaining 44% and 38%, respectively. This could imply that investors may not be pricing in the risk of an increase in taxes, according to the note.

This is just one factor that Goldman sees contributing to the underperformance of long-dated dividends, the note said.

Other contributors include that the equity market has been disproportionately driven by valuation expansion as opposed to earnings growth. Also, the market has become increasingly concentrated in big-tech companies such as Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Google, Netflix, and Microsoft.

 

[Cuddles]

Goldman Sachs sees a rising possibility of a 'blue wave' in the November elections, which poses a risk to corporate profitability and dividends
https://markets.businessinsider.com...ssibility-blue-wave-profits-2020-6-1029284963

• Goldman Sachs sees an increased possibility of a "blue wave" in the November elections, which could impact corporate profits and dividends.
• That could lead to a partial or full reversal of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act corporate tax reform legislation.
• "We estimate that a full reversal would lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26% and reduce our 2021 EPS forecast of $170 by $20 (11%) to $150," Goldman vice president of equity strategy Cole Hunter and chief US strategist David Kostin wrote in a Thursday note.

Goldman Sachs said the possibility of a "blue wave," or round of Democratic victories, is increasing ahead of the November 2020 elections.

"The 2020 election is just five months away, and prediction markets now price a 77%, 50%, and 51% likelihood of Democratic victories in the House, Senate, and presidential races, respectively," Goldman vice president of equity strategy Cole Hunter and chief US strategist David Kostin wrote in a Thursday note.

According to Goldman, that could lead to a partial or full reversal of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, sweeping corporate tax reform legislation. Rolling the legislation back or dashing it entirely would have a negative impact on the earnings and dividends of companies, Goldman said.

"We estimate that a full reversal would lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26% and reduce our 2021 EPS forecast of $170 by $20 (11%) to $150," Hunter and Kostin wrote.

Still, Goldman noted that high-tax-paying equities have actually outperformed their low-tax peers since March – gaining 44% and 38%, respectively. This could imply that investors may not be pricing in the risk of an increase in taxes, according to the note.

This is just one factor that Goldman sees contributing to the underperformance of long-dated dividends, the note said.

Other contributors include that the equity market has been disproportionately driven by valuation expansion as opposed to earnings growth. Also, the market has become increasingly concentrated in big-tech companies such as Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Google, Netflix, and Microsoft.

translation: Dems are clawing back the loot

 

[gwb-trading]

‘Awful news for Republican Senate candidates’: Odds of GOP holding Senate collapsing over support for Trump
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/06/aw...ing-senate-collapsing-over-support-for-trump/


As a side note... we have seen all the political ads for Thom Tillis in the past week in North Carolina stop connecting him to Trump. All the ads are now about Thom Tillis' humbe beginnings and career of helping the people of North Carolina. He is totally distancing himself from Trump in a very competitive Senate race.

 

[Cuddles]

‘Awful news for Republican Senate candidates’: Odds of GOP holding Senate collapsing over support for Trump
https://www.rawstory.com/2020/06/aw...ing-senate-collapsing-over-support-for-trump/


As a side note... we have seen all the political ads for Thom Tillis in the past week in North Carolina stop connecting him to Trump. All the ads are now about Thom Tillis' humbe beginnings and career of helping the people of North Carolina. He is totally distancing himself from Trump in a very competitive Senate race.

good, dems will need the Senate to impeach Kavanaugh.

 

[gwb-trading]

good, dems will need the Senate to impeach Kavanaugh.

And what possible grounds can the Senate impeach Kavanaugh on? Show me a basis of his legal decisions that are impeachable. Show me his behavior or actions while seated on the Supreme Court which is impeachable.

Yeah... .you have nothing.

 

[Cuddles]

And what possible grounds can the Senate impeach Kavanaugh on? Show me a basis of his legal decisions that are impeachable. Show me his behavior or actions while seated on the Supreme Court which is impeachable.

Yeah... .you have nothing.

Perjury & an obstructed FBI investigation leading to his confirmation

 

[CaptainObvious]

good, dems will need the Senate to impeach Kavanaugh.

Impeaching Kavanaugh will be the least of worries. This all unravels in a very big way when all the kids show up for school in a couple months. You think they'll have any interest in learning anything other than 'social justice" reform? You think the classroom "discussions" will be peaceful? Oh, and there won't be any police at many of these inner city high schools and college campuses. Leftist leadership wants them gone. Fights will break out. Guns will be easy to bring in to schools. There will be those who have zero interest in any of it other than the gang violence aspect. Add it all up and you have a powder keg. No discipline, no real leadership, no police, a permission slip from media and government to act out, no consequences for violence. What can possibly go wrong? Shit gonna get real this fall. What do think think this looks like when 20, 30, 40 or more schools erupt in violence which will kill hundreds? Throw in an election which turns to shit no matter who wins, maybe round two of a virus. Yeah, life as we knew it is about done.