Biden tops Trump by double digits in new Pennsylvania poll

Tony Stark · May 16, 2019

peilthetraveler said:
Keep trying to find these little things to "prove" your guy is going to win in 2020. It'll keep you happy until election night.

Just to remind you...

Trump Won PA by less than 1 point with low black voter turnout.

Dems won 2 state wide races in PA 6 months ago by + 17 and +13 and black voter turnout has been through the roof for Democrats since Trump was elected.Ill be happy election night.

Tony Stark · May 16, 2019

peilthetraveler said:
Keep trying to find these little things to "prove" your guy is going to win in 2020. It'll keep you happy until election night.

Just to remind you...

Most odds had Hillary around 90%,and those odds were correct.

Tony Stark · May 17, 2019

peilthetraveler said:
Methodology. From May 9 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 978 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 431 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 6.2 percentage points, including the design effect.

So 44% of the poll was registered democrats. Not people that lean, but ACTUAL democrats.

According to Gallups most recent party affiliation. Democrats are 26% of all voters. Republicans have actually just surpassed democrats in party affiliation.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

So this "poll" of yours was pretty heavily biased to ask democrats who they are going to vote for. What would the poll look like if they only polled 26% democrats?

BTW,even Rasmussen and Fox has Biden kicking Trumps ass

Banjo · May 17, 2019

https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2019/05/bls-unemployment-rates-in-april-at-new.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+CalculatedRisk+(Calculated+Risk

If this continues it will be interesting to see the effect on sentiment.

Tony Stark · May 17, 2019

Banjo said:
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2019/05/bls-unemployment-rates-in-april-at-new.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+CalculatedRisk+(Calculated+Risk

If this continues it will be interesting to see the effect on sentiment.

The people aren't giving Trump credit for the economy and polls show health care ranks higher than the economy as thier biggest concern.

peilthetraveler · May 17, 2019

Tony Stark said:
Trump Won PA by less than 1 point with low black voter turnout.

Dems won 2 state wide races in PA 6 months ago by + 17 and +13 and black voter turnout has been through the roof for Democrats since Trump was elected.Ill be happy election night.

Thats racist to assume how someone votes just because of skin color.

peilthetraveler · May 17, 2019

Tony Stark said:
Most state polls are colleges,news stations etc.This poll is Quinnipiac, a national poll.

Quinnipiacs + 6 poll was 10-18, before Comey announced she was back under investigation.

Even if Quinnipiac is off 3 points,thats still Biden +8

So you're saying they polled nationally for the state of Pennsylvania? Ok. I guess you'll believe anything as long as it states the thing you want to hear, right?

peilthetraveler · May 17, 2019

Tony Stark said:
Trumps approval rating in PA is 42%

View attachment 202724

3 months after he took office, his approval rating in PA was 39%. Now it's 42%. Not looking good for you when now more people approve.

https://www.mcall.com/news/pennsylvania/mc-pa-poll-trump-100-days-20170428-story.html

Tony Stark · May 17, 2019

peilthetraveler said:
So you're saying they polled nationally for the state of Pennsylvania? Ok. I guess you'll believe anything as long as it states the thing you want to hear, right?

Im saying Quinnipiac is a national full time pollster.Most state polls are part time pollsters like colleges and news stations.There is a difference in qulilty between the 2.

Tony Stark · May 17, 2019

peilthetraveler said:
3 months after he took office, his approval rating in PA was 39%. Now it's 42%. Not looking good for you when now more people approve.

https://www.mcall.com/news/pennsylvania/mc-pa-poll-trump-100-days-20170428-story.html

Two different pollsters.

Its looking very good for me when Dems just won 2 statewide races in PA by 13 and 17 points (Trump won by less than 1 point)and Biden was born in PA,will have a black vp and black voter turnout has been through the roof since Trump was elected.