Biden Jumps to a 10 Point Lead in Latest Polling

Tony Stark said:
Polls at this time in 2004 had Bush up

Polls at this time in 2006 had Dems up

Polls at this time in 2008 had Obama up

Polls at this time in 2010 had republicans up

Polls at this time in 2012 had Obama up

Polls at this time in 2014 had republicans up

Polls at this time in 2016 had Hillary up(She got millions more votes)

Polls at this time in 2018 had Dems up
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This guy was leading Bush Senior by 16 points around this time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Histo...ions#1988_United_States_presidential_election

90
 
fan27 said:
The variance between the final polls and the actual result in 1988 was less than it was in 2016.
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In April 2016 polls had Hillary ahead of Trump.In Nov 2016 polls had Hillary ahead of Trump.She got 3 million more votes.

What did April and Nov 1988 aggregate polls have?
 
Tony Stark said:
upload_2020-4-28_18-31-23-png.226366
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On Nov 3rd 2018 Trumps approval rating was 42%. The next day Dems won The House by 10 million votes and 23 of 33 Senate races in Senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Nevada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio as well as red states Arizona,West Virginia and Montana and every blue state race.
 
Tony Stark said:
On Nov 3rd 2018 Trumps approval rating was 42%. The next day Dems won The House by 10 million votes and 23 of 33 Senate races in Senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Nevada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio as well as red states Arizona,West Virginia and Montana and every blue state race.
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OK, got your point. So how you will evaluate Biden winning score in 2020?
 
Tony Stark said:
On Nov 3rd 2018 Trumps approval rating was 42%. The next day Dems won The House by 10 million votes and 23 of 33 Senate races in Senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Nevada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio as well as red states Arizona,West Virginia and Montana and every blue state race.
More...


In Nov 2019 Trumps approval rating was 42%.Later that month democrats won Governors races in Louisiana and Kentucky,2 of the most conservative states in the country.Trump campaigned heavily for both GOP candidates.










 
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