Tony, you and I are both wrong. We need to give TreeFrogTrader the predictive credit he deserves. He has been saying Warren will win the primary for months now.
Just like you, I also thought Biden would win the primary and go on to beat Trump. However, Warren has risen faster than a smoke signal on a clear day while Joe looks like he will lose the primary.
We could be wrong but black voters are sticking with Biden and as long as they do he will win the primary imo
https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/23/biden-leads-new-national-poll-055601
Biden way ahead of the pack in new national poll
By
QUINT FORGEY
10/23/2019 07:36 AM EDT
A new national survey shows Joe Biden enjoying a 15-point polling lead over his nearest rival for the 2020 Democratic nomination — bolstering the former vice president’s White House bid amid emerging threats from other primary contenders and scrutiny over his son’s foreign business dealings.
Thirty-four percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters prefer Biden as the party’s pick to take on President Donald Trump in next year’s general election, according to a
CNN poll conducted by SSRS and released Wednesday.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren ranks second with 19 percent support, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders with 16 percent.
Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, and California Sen. Kamala Harris both achieved 6 percent in the poll, while Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke raked in 3 percent of respondents.
Businessman Andrew Yang garnered 2 percent support, and all other candidates polled at 1 percent or less.
Biden’s standing in Wednesday’s survey marks his most significant edge in CNN’s primary polling since he
announced his campaign in late April and
dominated the Democratic field with 39 percent support.
His advantage in the latest CNN poll, conducted in the days following the fourth Democratic
debate last week, also comes despite a plurality of respondents judging that Warren outperformed Biden during the televised forum.