Ok,you passed the sniff test
Without accounting for vol/skew,I'm not sure how you deem a vertical to have edge..
With that said,I think your approach and incorporating verticals works well for you and that could be a an edge..
Im pretty sure you dont feel that any vertical trading for less than half of the strike width has 'edge"..
Without accounting for vol/skew,I'm not sure how you deem a vertical to have edge..
With that said,I think your approach and incorporating verticals works well for you and that could be a an edge..
Im pretty sure you dont feel that any vertical trading for less than half of the strike width has 'edge"..
When I say being right, I'm referring to the underlying moving in the direction of your trade. So if you're trading a call debit spread, your bullish and a put debit spread you're bearish.
The topic of edge is highly debatable and even believing an edge can exist in the marketplace seems to be frowned upon around here. The counter argument would be the options are always priced perfectly and the reason you have favorable pricing is because its not a 50/50 chance that the underlying will move in one direction or the other. At the end of the day, the edge comes from a disparity between implied volatility and actual realized volatility. If you believe options are priced perfectly then take everything I say with a grain of salt as edge would not exist and you shouldn't even place a speculative trade to begin with. I believe otherwise.
It's a very beginner friendly trade. You don't need to worry about the greeks or volatility, and you cannot lose more than you put into the trade. The point of trading these tight vertical spreads is to learn price action. You'll see how the spread price reacts to time and movement in the underlying. Its also an easy way to understand risk and max profit. People swing trade stocks directionaly all the time, this is the exact same thing with options. It adds a time constraint to the picture as the underlying has to move in the direction of your trade before expiration. But it also takes away the high likelyhood of stopping out of your trade. Next time you were to buy a stock and set a stop, look at the options chain and check the "probability of touching" your stop strike price. The numbers would surprise you.