Dot com bubble 2.0 in 2022? Place your bets here fellas.
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Beginning of a bear market 2022?
- Thread starter vincentnyc
- Start date
Dot com bubble 2.0 in 2022? Place your bets here fellas.
Do you mean Dot com crash 2.0?
Dot com crash 1.0 took 2.5 years to play out, (March 2000 to October 2002)
We could easily see Nasdaq 10,000 this year, but not sure if we will see Nasdaq go as low as 5000, but cant rule it out happening sometime over the next couple of years if the action is similar to 2000, 2001 and 2002
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Do you mean Dot com crash 2.0?
Dot com crash 1.0 took 2.5 years to play out, (March 2000 to October 2002)
We could easily see Nasdaq 10,000 this year, but not sure if we will see Nasdaq go as low as 5000, but cant rule it out happening sometime over the next couple of years if the action is similar to 2000, 2001 and 2002
yeah dot com crash 2.0....jan. 2022 looks like the beginning of it. whether it will continue to go down or go back up....only times will tell. so place your bets here.
yeah dot com crash 2.0....jan. 2022 looks like the beginning of it. whether it will continue to go down or go back up....only times will tell. so place your bets here.
I don't see much similarity at all other then lower tier IT companies which have already dropped a ton in many cases. One key difference is the top IT companies are making gobs of money the revenue hopes of the late 1990s re the internet are now real earnings being dominated by top tier IT. Current weakness isn't just IT it's any company with little or no earnings that rose on momentum and growth. Includes speculative small caps ( started correcting spring 2021 ) and businesses whose earnings were disrupted by supply chain issues ( eg auto parts ).
I don't see much similarity at all other then lower tier IT companies which have already dropped a ton in many cases. One key difference is the top IT companies are making gobs of money the revenue hopes of the late 1990s re the internet are now real earnings being dominated by top tier IT. Current weakness isn't just IT it's any company with little or no earnings that rose on momentum and growth. Includes speculative small caps ( started correcting spring 2021 ) and businesses whose earnings were disrupted by supply chain issues ( eg auto parts ).
wasn’t the dot cot crash 1.0 in 2000 like that? Tech companies with little or no earning crash and gone like the wind? I see similarities here i.e. : shop, twlo, net, pypl, docu, zm, roku, tdoc, etc.
wasn’t the dot cot crash 1.0 in 2000 like that? Tech companies with little or no earning crash and gone like the wind? I see similarities here i.e. : shop, twlo, net, pypl, docu, zm, roku, tdoc, etc.
I could get into the actual dynamics of what happened, but basically if you want to believe these are similar situations feel free. I'd note right away several companies on your list are profitable.
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Obviously there was a speculative bubble when the Nasdaq runs up 10,000 points in just a few years.
And it would have kept going even higher but persistent inflation ultimately popped the bubble.
There is now serious talk of 2.5% fed rates soon, and some even say double that much will be needed to ultimately tame inflation.
Just as it was hard to predict the top, it is going to be hard to predict where and when the bottom will be.
And there will be a few more sharp bear market rallies before the ultimate bottom. The market i'snt going to make it easy for Shorts.
And it would have kept going even higher but persistent inflation ultimately popped the bubble.
There is now serious talk of 2.5% fed rates soon, and some even say double that much will be needed to ultimately tame inflation.
Just as it was hard to predict the top, it is going to be hard to predict where and when the bottom will be.
And there will be a few more sharp bear market rallies before the ultimate bottom. The market i'snt going to make it easy for Shorts.
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I could get into the actual dynamics of what happened, but basically if you want to believe these are similar situations feel free. I'd note right away several companies on your list are profitable.
i don't really care or shouldn't really care about the reasons or fundamental or feds or rate hikes etc. i'm a technical trader. i look at charts and price actions. that's all i need to know.
fb and nflx are weakest of the fang stonks as of 2022. let see if they will be here in 10 or 20 years from now. so place your bets here fellas.
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I could get into the actual dynamics of what happened, but basically if you want to believe these are similar situations feel free. I'd note right away several companies on your list are profitable.
As far as I can tell, the difference these days is that the pure cash-burning spec plays which will eventually zero are mostly still private. Public markets are mostly about crazy optimistic valuations/growth forecasts (see NFLX).