I believe the XAL (Airline Index) will decline at least 5% from its recent high of 61.74 on 1/4/07 within the next 4 weeks.
Based on my system, the sentiment and valuation of the XAL Index hit extremes on 1/4/07. Correspondingly, I have taken a short position in IYT at 83.24 on 1/5/07. Given the lack of pure plays on the XAL Index other than the XAL options and underlying stocks, I chose IYT as my vehicle of choice.
Short position: IYT
Entry Price: 83.24
Stoploss: 91.56
Time Stop: 4 weeks
Exit: Pending system signal
Based on my system, the sentiment and valuation of the XAL Index hit extremes on 1/4/07. Correspondingly, I have taken a short position in IYT at 83.24 on 1/5/07. Given the lack of pure plays on the XAL Index other than the XAL options and underlying stocks, I chose IYT as my vehicle of choice.
Short position: IYT
Entry Price: 83.24
Stoploss: 91.56
Time Stop: 4 weeks
Exit: Pending system signal