...
But after 7 straight down weeks, 8 for the Dow, I’d be hesitant to be short right now...
Fun stat...I read that the Dow is on it's longest weekly losing streak since 1932.
...
But after 7 straight down weeks, 8 for the Dow, I’d be hesitant to be short right now...
We are soooo far away from capitulation.
Look at the volume spikes in 2007 and early 2008.
Then look at now.
This market is awash in funny money still.
The only thing that can save us now is if Putin goes tits up.
And even then... sell the news.
Allow me to be you... 1923, not 1932.Fun stat...I read that the Dow is on it's longest weekly losing streak since 1932.
Rarely does the most obvious trade work.You know when the hacks on Bloomberg and CNBC are promoting the idea of capitulation to get the retail traders to keep buying stocks----the big boys (mutual funds, banks, brokers, hedge funds) are all short the stockmarket. They are just setting the retail traders for when the stockmarket finally drops and drops in huge amounts and there is a bloodbath.
This market hasn't been about fundamentals for many years. It's about screwing the most traders possible. With so many bearish right now, a strong bull run (even close to ATHs) would be par for the course, regardless of fundamentals.Doubt it will stay green for long. There is simply no fundamental reason to buy this market especially the QQQ. Last Friday the NQ futures went from +1.6% to -2.4% in about 5 hours. There hasn't been a sustained rally of more than 3 days in quite a while. I'm short 1 NQ contract but I have some OTM QQQ weekly calls.
It may not be about fundamentals, but it is about a dozen or so power-players with billions and billions in AUM and super-algo's written by computer scientists battling it out against each other.This market hasn't been about fundamentals for many years. It's about screwing the most traders possible. With so many bearish right now, a strong bull run (even close to ATHs) would be par for the course, regardless of fundamentals.
Noted, Nostradamus. If you're wrong expect this thread to be revived. For the record, your billionaire buddies were buying garbage hand over foot until 5 months ago.It may not be about fundamentals, but it is about a dozen or so power-players with billions and billions in AUM and super-algo's written by computer scientists battling it out against each other.
There's no conspiracy to "skin the little guy". That's a fallacy. Retail is just along for the ride, the best we can do is play the chart near term. Long term, those powerhouse's aren't gonna buy garbage and get caught when their "enemy" turns on the sell programs with more firepower.
The level has reset.
New all time highs, or even close, are out of the question.
Rarely does the most obvious trade work.
Near term at least.