SENTIMENT: I.e. crowd sentiment.
Want a stunning example that is sooooooooo much like at ET at major Market tops/bottoms?
I have one for you. But first let’s revisit the LAW, aka The Law of Herd Behavior
When things get more and more and more and more one-sided, the astute contrarian is watching all the time, his money is in line with the crazy Herd (middle to top portion of a trend). The contrarian knows in his bones that there are only 2 good uses of the Herd.
When the Herd goes mad and starts propelling the market higher and higher, the contrarian stays on his horse and keeps riding the trend. But his eyes and ears are always wide open for the red light of red lights. That is the 2nd use, namely when it gets soooooo one sided as it now has been at ET, so one sided that you have cats like Mr Burke proclaim, SPX sooooo easy money, taxi drivers, waiters, bus drivers, office workers all just buy and instant profits.
The contrarian looks at Vix, the DSI, US govt. conference board and other sentiment indexes and compares them to what HE is actually seeing on the ground in trial life in real time.
When they jive, he closes all Longs and retires to a cave to enjoy his spoils.
He does NOT go SHORT yet. For this he must wait for a pure technical breakout
Revisiting the Law is complete
Now let’s apply this Law to nobody’s friend, but a friend to Fibo trader. ....... president Donald J Trump, quite possibly the best president EVER and for the first time in history we gots a CLOSER in the White House, one who can say NO to China and other freeloaders sucking the marrow out of the ever munificent, magnanimous, unselfish USA.