Last week the Bank of Japan raised rates 0.25 to 0.50%
When they did the same thing last year, world markets across the globe sold off. The reason being the unwinding of the carry trade.
Last week when rates were raised, nothing happened. The Japanese Yen even sold off into the news.....
Why would one ask ? The reason was that in this occasion Trichet had already made it clear that regardless of what happened he was raising European rates in March and a day before BOJ's move, Australia and New Zealand made it clear they were preparing to raise rates further. In effect making the BOJ move a non-sequitur as far as the markets could see.
But there was something nobody at the time was expecting. Bad economic numbers in the EU, bad enough to make Trichet, if it hasn't already, doubt in his ability to be raise rates in March.
Reason why I went long US bonds on friday and European bonds monday at 2am EST.
Was this magic, no.
It is the ability to take in consideration all meaningful data and be able to ANTICIPATE what will happen next.
I am still a newb in this business and what I do is a a macro level, what Jack and Spyder do is at a micro level.
Same thing.
Can't for the life of me, not understand why people who have or show to have a high intellectual capability not understand something so simple.
