Barton Biggs: S&P Will Soar Another 20% This Year
Henry Blodget|Sep. 13, 2009, 9:06 AM
Legendary ex-Morgan Stanley strategist Barton Biggs tells Bloomberg that stocks have barely begun to rise.
The S&P headed to 1250 this year, Barton says (up about 20% from current levels), and 1350 next year.
The logic?
That's what the credit markets are telling us. (Alas, he didn't elaborate).
Barton hastens to add that he's not predicting anything crazy. The market won't set new highs or anything.
One other Barton point: We're years away from a China crash.
Stock Pullback Will Comeââ¬âbut Not Yet: Barton Biggs
Published: Tuesday, 15 Sep 2009 | 4:55 PM ET
By: CNBC.com
The S&P 500 will rise to 1200 or 1250 before there's a meaningful correction, so although stocks aren't as cheap as they were a few months ago, they're still worth buying, said Barton Biggs of Traxis Partners.
"Everybody thinks it's gone too far. We're getting all kinds of advice that we ought to cut back and lock in some gains," Biggs told CNBC. "It takes courage to be a pig, and I'm a pig here." (See video at left for more.)
Biggs recommended the following sectors and markets to investors:
Retail: "As the stock market has gone up and good things have happened in the economy ... you're going to get big increases in confidence and people are going to start spending again," he said.
Emerging Markets: The global economy is rebounding faster than the US, and Biggs specifically suggested buying into Eastern European countries such as Poland, Turkey and Russia.
Biggs also likes pharmaceuticals, technology and real estate investment trusts (REITs).
One sector not on Biggs' list: financials.
"Financials are tech in 2003," he said. "They've had a big bounce off the bottom just the way tech did and they're going to be unproductive money for the next five years."