Baron's Crypto Trading Journal

[vanzandt]

Crypto's get all the press, but for real, it hasn't fared any worse than the likes of LYFT, PTON, SNAP.... just to name a few from the last 12 months.
Man I bet housing prices are crashing out there in San Jose.
11K layoffs at Meta, Elon will probably sh*t-can the whole of Twitter.... yep... there's gonna be a lot of mortgages underwater out there.

 

[virtusa]

Well I have respect for you and I have respect for all ET'ers who are coders, imo, coding skills unlock a lot of mystery doors to how markets operate.
But my question to you was not a put down or criticism, I was genuinely perplexed how anyone can call tops, hence why I mentioned hindsight.
I went looking through your past posts to see if I could find examples of you posting charts, alas could find nothing.

Thanks to the trolling I stopped sharing a long time ago. Which was in hindsight very good as it protects myself against my nature to normally share things.

You cannot find any chart as I don't use charts. I trade purely mathematical. I calculate the strenght and evolution of the trend (so what people are doing, or going to do) and because of the high probability of being right I trade all these signals. I know already before entering a trade which scenario will develop. I only don't know at that moment how far the move will go. But my system checks in realtime if the market goes as the scenario predicts.

Well I have respect for you and I have respect for all ET'ers who are coders, imo, coding skills unlock a lot of mystery doors to how markets operate.

I am not a coder, I design all models in Excel. My opinion is that coding does not make the difference. Thinking out of the box does.
Every big invention is the result of somebody who did/tried something that nobody ever did/tried before. If somebody would have done it before, he would have been the inventor.

 

[Buy1Sell2]

24,200

Raising my initial target for this rally to 28,100.

 

[themickey]

Thanks to the trolling I stopped sharing a long time ago. Which was in hindsight very good as it protects myself against my nature to normally share things.

You cannot find any chart as I don't use charts. I trade purely mathematical. I calculate the strenght and evolution of the trend (so what people are doing, or going to do) and because of the high probability of being right I trade all these signals. I know already before entering a trade which scenario will develop. I only don't know at that moment how far the move will go. But my system checks in realtime if the market goes as the scenario predicts.

I am not a coder, I design all models in Excel. My opinion is that coding does not make the difference. Thinking out of the box does.
Every big invention is the result of somebody who did/tried something that nobody ever did/tried before. If somebody would have done it before, he would have been the inventor.

Just because you use Excel, doesn't mean that's not coding imo.
But it seems like you and I are doing something similar as I predominantly work off data as well rather than charts.
I use charts to assist in ensuring my data is accurate and to help form the way I decide to write the data.

 

[virtusa]

Just because you use Excel, doesn't mean that's not coding imo.
But it seems like you and I are doing something similar as I predominantly work off data as well rather than charts.
I use charts to assist in ensuring my data is accurate and to help form the way I decide to write the data.

It looks that most columns from your Excel contain data.
I have only 5 columns with data: Date/time, Open, High, Low, close.
But I also have about 35 columns filled with formulas. These columns use as input the first 5 columns, but also the results of other previous columns. A formula in one cell can be very long, it can contain over 200 characters. Loading the spreadsheet takes a lot of memory and also some time due to the size.
So what I do is completely different from what you do I think.
I use charts for the results from my calculations as charts have a better visibility than a spreadsheet.

 

[themickey]

The trading Edu#2 tab you see on pic above, thats part of a training module I run privately for some noobs.
This is my 2nd doc at page 75, now onto my 3rd document which I share over cloud.

 

[themickey]

It looks that most columns from your Excel contain data.
I have only 5 columns with data: Date/time, Open, High, Low, close.
But I also have about 35 columns filled with formulas. These columns use as input the first 5 columns, but also the results of other previous columns. A formula in one cell can be very long, it can contain over 200 characters. Loading the spreadsheet takes a lot of memory and also some time due to the size.
So what I do is completely different from what you do I think.
I use charts for the results from my calculations as charts have a better visibility than a spreadsheet.

The current 'algo' I'm working on / testing, is so big, its spread over 5 spreadsheets (so to prevent hanging up) and is 3000 rows deep of formulas, but I'm covering approx 500 instruments.
This includes USA markets as I watch US to determine how we react.
So I cover multiple sectors and trade those which are hot, swing trading.
I'm holding about 80 positions atm, mostly metals.
2:50 am where I am and working.

 

[themickey]

A formula in one cell can be very long, it can contain over 200 characters. Loading the spreadsheet takes a lot of memory and also some time due to the size.

Yes, long 'what if' formulas can hog a lot of memory, so I try and avoid them getting too long.
Also there was a formula I one used which was calculating averages, over long lookbacks, that too made speed crawl.
Personally I dislike moving averages, but they can be helpful at times.
For example often a MA can be used to define a trend and to code is also easier than using straight trend lines if you wanted something generally.
Sorry, going offtrack here.

 

[themickey]

Getting back on topic....

Crypto is still the only one atm in the markets dogbox.

 

[themickey]

Crypto Lender BlockFi Pauses Withdrawals in Wake of FTX Collapse
BlockFi had made a deal with FTX earlier this year.
By Nikhilesh De Nov 11, 2022
https://www.coindesk.com/business/2...i-pauses-withdrawals-in-wake-of-ftx-collapse/

BlockFi advertisement in Washington D.C.'s Union Station (CoinDesk archives)

Crypto lender BlockFi said it could not conduct business as normal and would be limiting activity in the wake of FTX's collapse.

The company said in a tweet that the "lack of clarity" around FTX's current situation meant it would pause client withdrawals. It also told clients not to deposit to its wallet or interest accounts.

"We will share more specifics as soon as possible," the company said. "... we intend to communicate as frequently as possible but anticipate that this will be less frequent than what our clients and other shareholders are used to."

BlockFi's tweet Thursday came just two days after founder and chief operating officer Flori Marquez tweeted that "all BlockFi products are fully operational," saying it was an independent entity until at least July of next year.

BlockFi and FTX US announced this past July that the companies had agreed to a deal wherein FTX US would provide BlockFi a $400 million credit facility, which would also allow the crypto exchange the right to acquire BlockFi. The price of the acquisition would depend on certain terms.
...more.....