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August 29, 2010
SouthAmerica: Reply to buzzy2
I posted the following on this forum over 2 years ago.
As I said on that posting: âThe value of the 1947 US$ 1.00 â in 2008 that US dollar is worth only $ .09 cents that is how much of the value of the US dollar has evaporated because of inflation.â
But during the Reagan years the US government changed the way they calculated inflation. And if we were still using the same method of calculating inflation that they used before the mid-1980âs then: âThe value of that same 1947 US$ 1.00 â in 2009 that same US dollar was worth only $ .01 cent and that is how much of the value of the US dollar has evaporated because of inflation.â
The reality is that today the purchasing power of the US dollar is nothing to write home about it.
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March 8, 2008
SouthAmerica: There are many reasons for the decline of the US dollar, and here are just a few of them:
First, we have reached the end of the line for the US dollar currency supremacy, and that has to do among other things with the economic and geopolitical changes that we had in the world since 1945.
The US dollar served its purpose since the end of WW II and became the major foreign exchange reserve currency for the system that emerged after the war. The days of the US dollar playing that special role that created an international monetary system that revolved around the US dollar as its main currency â that system is very sick and it is dying a slow death.
Very soon the world will need to put that patient out of their misery, and after the major collapse of the US dollar finally arrives creating the biggest international monetary crisis the world have ever seen â a real US dollar global meltdown â from the ashes of the old system it will emerge the new international monetary system that it will be more useful for the first century of the new millennium.
The US government and Americans in general lost sight of the role that the US dollar has been playing in the world international monetary system since 1945 when the US dollar started becoming a part of the foreign exchange reserves of many countries.
When a currency achieves that status of a major reserve currency the world expect at a minimum that the currency would be managed in a way to protect its intrinsic value over time.
That is not what has been happening to the US dollar for a long time. The value of the 1947 US$ 1.00 â in 2008 that US dollar is worth only $ .09 cents that is how much of the value of the US dollar has evaporated because of inflation.
Since the US dollar became the center of the international monetary system â an unusual place for any one country's currency to stay for a long period of time â the world has changed in drastic ways during all these decades resulting in a system that it is completely broke today and ready to be replaced by a new system that represents the new circumstances that have evolved.
Today we have too many US dollars flying around the world an over supply of US dollars that can be considered more as a massive bubble than a currency that can be justified by the prospects of the economic performance of the United States in the coming years. (Today over 70 percent of the US dollar currency ever created if flying around the world outside the circle of influence of the Federal Reserve and the US government.)
Today, the United States are not masters even of its own currency, since the accumulation of US dollar reserves by other countries around the world â have transferred a lot of the economic policy powers from the United States to other countries.
Today China and Japan have become the masters (since they hold a large chunk of the US dollars flying around the world) and the United States needs not only that these countries keep lending money to keep the US economy afloat, but the private sector in the US also has started collapsing and they need the inflow of money from Foreign Sovereignty Funds to keep major financial institutions afloat in the United States.
â¦The Chinese and the Japanese among a number of countries that are heavily invested in US dollar assets â these countries are stuck with their accumulated US dollar assets and they canât afford to diversify out of this mess. They are watching their investments turning into confetti and if they start getting out of the US dollar then they can cause a stamped and the financial meltdown that I am talking about.
The question is: which central banker will spook the herd and start the Panic?
I guess central bankers in Asia very soon they might be getting to the point very that they canât justify adding more US dollars to their foreign exchange reserves and they have to stop accumulating their US dollar assets any further â since these US dollars are turning into confetti â and when they do that they are going to influence the direction of interest rates in the US markets and interest rates will go sky high.
When a currency turns into confetti, interest rates go sky high.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1823980&highlight=1947+US+dollar#post1823980
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