Credit defaults cause elimination of capital in a fractional reserve system - which makes money supply decrease, which should make dollar go up.
Treasury has not yet offset this decrease ENOUGH with injections/printing YET, to stop deflation. I know, hard to beleive, but I think it is true.
Gold rise (today) in response to banks defaulting fear, not so much inflation, Yet. Rember, gold does well in both inflation, and deflation (during bank trouble).
On the fence, but I see deflation, until gigantic injections by Fed (way more than they are already doing before they overcome defaltion) - key is to understanding the HUGE loss of credit and writedown in assets (Real Estate, stock market, commodities) that is much more than is being added.
....I think.