bad news for perma bears and shorts

[zdreg]

Quote from stock_trad3r:

There is a gang of maybe five to ten perma bears on elite trader who for the past year have been constantly bearish in spite of the markets recent run. They hope that every sell off will result in a bear market of correction but their payers are in vain.

My predictions are:

There will never be another bear market ever again baring a major disaster such as a nuclear war or a massive meteorite impact.

And unless a market correction happens within the next ten years there will never be another correction again.

One possible reason is because in the past decade the US and global economy & markets have become very finely tuned with a perfect balance of growth, valuations, and inflation. In addition there are so many market players, arbitrageurs and hedging that to create a such a long standing market inefficiency that constitutes a bear market or stock market crash would be seemingly impossible. Empirical evidence of this is the continual decline of the CBOE vix index since 2000 and the the fact that the average PE ratio of the S&P 500 index is at 15 year lows.

Analogous to a musician that doesn't lose his tune as the result of years of practice the stock market will become increasingly fine tuned in that 'mishaps' like corrections, crashes, and bear markers will cease.

The chart of the S&P500 5-10 years in the future will resemble a nearly smooth exponential parabola whereas forty years ago there much much more volatility.

l think with your forecasts that you should be on the cover of business week one forecast would be the repeal of bear cycles. the second forecast is a smooth "exponential" bull cycle.

"Analogous to a musician that doesn't lose his tune as the result of years of practice the stock market will become increasingly fine tuned in that 'mishaps' like corrections, crashes, and bear markers will cease."

in order that there should be no mishaps there can no be excesses.
of course the internet stock boom and the real estate related stock boom are things of the past according to your thinking.

since you are expecting a parabolic chart of the s&p in five to ten years you are predicting a bear market now so that we can reach a low point in the market from which the market will rise
exponentially.

of course we can always have sector bear markets forever?

 

[stock_trad3r]

A bear market can't last forever because continuous revenue growth. Historically the stock market returns an annual return of 10% which correlates with increasing revenue growth of s&p500 companies.

Since there is a small sell off today the bears are gonna post more often than usual

 

[MajorUrsa]

Quote from Ivanovich:


I just wish having people on ignore removed the entire post so you wouldn't see the titles.

I think that is the most requested and important feature for this board currently. For some strange reason it has not been implemented yet. If ignores ->> implies invisible threads than the culprits will be far more hurt when ignored.

Come on Baron, do something!! This is getting serious.

Ursa..

 

[Longhorns]

Quote from MajorUrsa:

I think that is the most requested and important feature for this board currently. For some strange reason it has not been implemented yet. If ignores ->> implies invisible threads than the culprits will be far more hurt when ignored.

Come on Baron, do something!! This is getting serious.

Ursa..

Seriously...let's get this feature implemented ASAP.

 

[zdreg]

Quote from stock_trad3r:

A bear market can't last forever because continuous revenue growth. Historically the stock market returns an annual return of 10% which correlates with increasing revenue growth of s&p500 companies.

Since there is a small sell off today the bears are gonna post more often than usual

while you have every right to post in whatever way you want don't think that you are sitting on a psychiatrist's coach and he is asking you to say whatever comes to your mind. if you want respect rather than just a platform to speak present your thoughts in a logical manner.

it might help if you responded to particular disagreements with what you said in the orginal post instead of the above bears post more often on down days.

(by the way do you any have proof that bears post more on down days. maybe they post more on up days because they feel like whining. of course if you are a professional whiner everyday is a good day to whine.)

 

[stock_trad3r]

For further proof of my original statement look at a five year chart of the dow.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^DJI&t=5y&l=off&z=m&q=c&c=

The so called subprime liquidity crisis only resulted in a retraction of just 1/8-1/10 of the entire graph. Thats it.

It shows just how volatility is becoming a thing of the past.

 

[Div_Arb]

stock_trad3r,

Who is your drug dealer? You are obviously smoking some good $hit, so please pass his number along!

Quote from stock_trad3r:

For further proof of my original statement look at a five year chart of the dow.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^DJI&t=5y&l=off&z=m&q=c&c=

The so called subprime liquidity crisis only resulted in a retraction of just 1/8-1/10 of the entire graph. Thats it.

It shows just how volatility is becoming a thing of the past.

 

[stock_trad3r]

this thread isn't going anywhere

 

[ammo]

if you look at a clockface to measure intelligence and 6 o clock represented a mentally retarded I.Q.,9 oclock mildly retarded,12 oclock average intelligence,3 oclock near genius,5 oclock genius,then your almost retarded,ST don't outsmart yourself

 

[stock_trad3r]

Quote from ammo:

if you look at a clockface to measure intelligence and 6 o clock represented a mentally retarded I.Q.,9 oclock mildly retarded,12 oclock average intelligence,3 oclock near genius,5 oclock genius,then your almost retarded,ST don't outsmart yourself

yes you are a cockface if thats what you mean