Quote from Argent:
You've heard of survivorship bias? Well, you're the opposite: failure bias. Don't lay all your flaws on the method. It works if used properly.
Quote from Buy1Sell2:
You already proved yourself wrong. You said you fell flat on your face and went well into debt. That is an issu with risk/money management. Not with backtesting.
Quote from Algo_Design_Kid:
It isn't because my program hypothesis and risk management was flawed. Never did I risk over 1.5% on a trade. Usually never more than .7%
The most reasonable way to begin is by papertrading your ideas. Once you have established enough confidence, then try 1 lots and go from there.Quote from bhause:
Hi all,
I have been trading stocks and crude oil (through leveraged ETFs) now for about 6 months. Although I don't have a formal finance education (just graduated with a degree in econ - but as many of you surely know, econ is NOT finance), I have been studying finance and the markets ravenously since my interest was first piqued 8 months or so ago. I have done well so far in the markets. I am thinking that it is time to step up to the big leagues, and I want to trade crude oil futures intraday.
Thanks!
Quote from Buy1Sell2:
Certainly it was! There would be no way to be in debt if you were risking 1.5% per trade.---Unless of course you were calculating 1.5% on borrowed money to begin with! I think your posts are being helpful to others as a testament to not borrow money to trade--ever. Your calculation of 1.5% risk should have been made upon your total liquid net worth, then you would have never gone into debt. If that had been the case, then we could examine why you were unable to develop a winning system with backtesting.
