BABA

The employee lock up is over, however YHOO still owns a huge 15% stake in BABA worth mega billions. It entered a one year lock up last September which expires on Sept 25th, 2015.

It is unknown what YHOO plans to do with those shares when the huge lock up expires.
A tax free spin off at the end of the year to YHOO shareholders as a part of a separate company. Waiting for IRS ruling on the deal.
 
Is it time to get back in or should I wait for the 80/82?
BABA is going lower and lower with regularity. So I would rather lower my expectations : 78/80 dollars. 85 was a short term support ? Lasted only 4 days...
If you still want to enter, you would better wait for a plunge at 80 dollars and watch if 80 holds.
Yes ? => Buy
If not (77 ? 78 ? 79 dollars?), buy above 80 dollars.

GL with your trades.

CM
 
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The lower gap (from the last earnings report) has now filled. Watch and see if buyers step up in this area, they have a second chance entry from the last earnings.
 
It is at $81 and change. So I wait.

Well, you made good choice. Today, BABA is below 78 dollars.
Should you buy it now? I don't think so, because you got zero divergence.
RSI shows lower lows (see graph): trend is still down. Only a strong reaction (close above 80 dollars) could (eventually) stop the drain.

CM

baba3.gif
 
Actually I did get in. Probably too soon?:(
IMO, yes and no...
Yes because until you don't get a close above 80, BABA could go lower (76? 75?74?). Above 80, probabilities would be higher for a strong rebound.
No because you could have bought it before @ 90... at least, you waited for a better price.
And perfect timing is impossible.

On a short term basis, I am still negative because yesterday was an awful black marubozu (open near highs, close near lows).
If BABA doesn't break 81.19 dollars, some more downside to come.... :(.
Anyway, one advice... don't average down !

CM
 
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