Automated Trading Championship 2012 Has Started!
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TOP-10 Forecast from Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) as of December 9
A few days ago we tried to look into the future of TOP-10 Expert Advisors using Microsoft Excel as a time machine. In subsequent discussion, I had to admit that it was not the best solution for "searching the correlations". Now, I decided to use the more professional time machine - Eureqa application. We will also define if the previous forecasts have turned out to be true.
This article reveals the forecast made by Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) for each of the TOP-10 members for the remaining part of the Championship.
Read the full article on the Championship's website - TOP-10 Forecast from Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) as of December 9.
A few days ago we tried to look into the future of TOP-10 Expert Advisors using Microsoft Excel as a time machine. In subsequent discussion, I had to admit that it was not the best solution for "searching the correlations". Now, I decided to use the more professional time machine - Eureqa application. We will also define if the previous forecasts have turned out to be true.
This article reveals the forecast made by Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) for each of the TOP-10 members for the remaining part of the Championship.
Read the full article on the Championship's website - TOP-10 Forecast from Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) as of December 9.
Championship's Tenth Week Minutes.
We would like to present you the report for the tenth week of the Automated Trading Championship 2012. Although EURUSD was a loss-making pair within the whole week, the total floating profit of newly opened positions at this pair has finally exceeded the floating losses! Find more on that, as well as on some other topics in the present report.
Here you will know about the distribution of the number of deals, profits and losses at each currency pair, as well as the average return of each trading deal.
The full text of the news can be found on the Championship's website - Championship's Tenth Week Minutes.
We would like to present you the report for the tenth week of the Automated Trading Championship 2012. Although EURUSD was a loss-making pair within the whole week, the total floating profit of newly opened positions at this pair has finally exceeded the floating losses! Find more on that, as well as on some other topics in the present report.
Here you will know about the distribution of the number of deals, profits and losses at each currency pair, as well as the average return of each trading deal.
The full text of the news can be found on the Championship's website - Championship's Tenth Week Minutes.
Interview with Sergey Abramov (26405)
$60 000 were enough to finish the Championship in TOP-10 during the previous competitions (the tenth Participant had $62 000 on his account in 2008). Therefore, it is not much of an interest to submit an Expert Advisor having less potential profitability. I used this value as the lowest one when testing my trading robot. Of course, it would be better to set the highest possible goal (Liliput made 220K on December 17, 2008). Perhaps, I will do that on the next Championship.
Let's try to guess the possible final result of this year's winner. Any ideas?
If we analyze the previous results, we can see that an Expert Advisor leading the pack the major part of the competition with a significant gap wins in most cases. The main thing for the current leader is to make fewer mistakes. The second place is far less predictable according to the past experience. The Expert Advisors are located not far from each other. The Participants currently occupying positions 2-4 will fight for the second and third places. However, predictions are a thankless occupation, and my chances to predict something correctly are even fewer than that of a weather presenter.
The full text of the news can be found at the Championship's website - Interview with Sergey Abramov (26405).
So, you have selected the Expert Advisor and the strategy most fitting to the Championship conditions. What were the development criteria?The trading robot of Sergey Abramov (26405) is staying in TOP-10 since the second week. However, it caused much
anxiety for its developer. As it turned out, the robot contains a small error in position close block. The robot has been developed almost exclusively on the basis of the past years' results.
$60 000 were enough to finish the Championship in TOP-10 during the previous competitions (the tenth Participant had $62 000 on his account in 2008). Therefore, it is not much of an interest to submit an Expert Advisor having less potential profitability. I used this value as the lowest one when testing my trading robot. Of course, it would be better to set the highest possible goal (Liliput made 220K on December 17, 2008). Perhaps, I will do that on the next Championship.
Let's try to guess the possible final result of this year's winner. Any ideas?
If we analyze the previous results, we can see that an Expert Advisor leading the pack the major part of the competition with a significant gap wins in most cases. The main thing for the current leader is to make fewer mistakes. The second place is far less predictable according to the past experience. The Expert Advisors are located not far from each other. The Participants currently occupying positions 2-4 will fight for the second and third places. However, predictions are a thankless occupation, and my chances to predict something correctly are even fewer than that of a weather presenter.
The full text of the news can be found at the Championship's website - Interview with Sergey Abramov (26405).
Interview with Evgeny Gnidko (FIFO)
I did not perform optimization in the tester. Expert Advisor's parameters (Stop-Loss, Take-Profit, Trailing Stop, etc.) were defined visually and intuitively. Then I checked them using the tester. I detected some certain behavior patterns of the trading robot depending on the parameters and selected a few definite patterns that allow the Expert Advisor to shoot ahead and occupy leading positions. Actually, that was the optimization criterion - the most rapid growth of the balance within the shortest period of time.
It seems that your tactics have worked - your Expert Advisor has completed its task before the market change. Would you have implemented any changes to your trading robot's parameters now if you've had such an opportunity? Or may be, you would even have stopped it right away?
No, I don't want to change anything. I'm satisfied with the results so far.
The full text of the news can be found at the Championship's website - Interview with Evgeny Gnidko (FIFO).
Your Expert Advisor has an impressive profit factor, as well as the percentage of profitable deals. What were the optimization criteria and what results have been obtained during the preliminary automatic tests on the 8-month interval?The Expert Advisor of Evgeny Gnidko (<span>FIFO</span>) currently seems to be the most stable one at the Automated Trading Championship 2012. This trading robot entered TOP-10 at the third week remaining one of the leading Expert Advisors ever since. After the rapid series of trades during the first month of the Championship, the robot
is now quietly waiting for the new growth of volatility.
I did not perform optimization in the tester. Expert Advisor's parameters (Stop-Loss, Take-Profit, Trailing Stop, etc.) were defined visually and intuitively. Then I checked them using the tester. I detected some certain behavior patterns of the trading robot depending on the parameters and selected a few definite patterns that allow the Expert Advisor to shoot ahead and occupy leading positions. Actually, that was the optimization criterion - the most rapid growth of the balance within the shortest period of time.
It seems that your tactics have worked - your Expert Advisor has completed its task before the market change. Would you have implemented any changes to your trading robot's parameters now if you've had such an opportunity? Or may be, you would even have stopped it right away?
No, I don't want to change anything. I'm satisfied with the results so far.
The full text of the news can be found at the Championship's website - Interview with Evgeny Gnidko (FIFO).
Eleventh Week - Switching to Ground Fighting
Our experience shows that the potential members of TOP-3 can be more easily predicted when the competition is already coming to its end. But not this time! The roller coaster arranged by EURUSD during the competition is constantly keeping our current leading Participants on their toes. The eleventh week has shown how difficult it is to keep your leading position - the sharp rise of EURUSD has considerably shaken up our TOP-10.
The current Championship is very different from the previous years' ones. First, it lasts 13 weeks instead of 12. In the latter case, we would already have been able to guess the potential winners. Second, the movement of currency pairs for the first 11 weeks is also quite different from the previous years. Perhaps, the reason lies in the forthcoming apocalypse scheduled on December 21 by many prophets. However, we can assure you that our Championship will continue after that date.
Read the full article on the Championship's website: Eleventh Week - Switching to Ground Fighting.
Our experience shows that the potential members of TOP-3 can be more easily predicted when the competition is already coming to its end. But not this time! The roller coaster arranged by EURUSD during the competition is constantly keeping our current leading Participants on their toes. The eleventh week has shown how difficult it is to keep your leading position - the sharp rise of EURUSD has considerably shaken up our TOP-10.
The current Championship is very different from the previous years' ones. First, it lasts 13 weeks instead of 12. In the latter case, we would already have been able to guess the potential winners. Second, the movement of currency pairs for the first 11 weeks is also quite different from the previous years. Perhaps, the reason lies in the forthcoming apocalypse scheduled on December 21 by many prophets. However, we can assure you that our Championship will continue after that date.
Read the full article on the Championship's website: Eleventh Week - Switching to Ground Fighting.
Automated Trading Championship 2012: Forecasts from Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) or Tales from the Crypt 3
Only two weeks have left before the end of the Championship. It's time to evaluate the accuracy of the previous forecast again and try to predict the course of events this week. It may seem surprising, but Eureqa's forecast has turned out to be considerably worse than Excel's one. However, there is no reason to be sad about that, as we will try another instrument - Deductor from BaseGroup or, to be more precise, its free version called DeductorAcademic.
This article reveals the forecast made by Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) for each of the TOP-10 members for the remaining part of the Championship.
Read the full article on the Championship's website - Forecasts from Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) or Tales from the Crypt 3.
Only two weeks have left before the end of the Championship. It's time to evaluate the accuracy of the previous forecast again and try to predict the course of events this week. It may seem surprising, but Eureqa's forecast has turned out to be considerably worse than Excel's one. However, there is no reason to be sad about that, as we will try another instrument - Deductor from BaseGroup or, to be more precise, its free version called DeductorAcademic.
This article reveals the forecast made by Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) for each of the TOP-10 members for the remaining part of the Championship.
Read the full article on the Championship's website - Forecasts from Roman Zamozhnyy (Rich) or Tales from the Crypt 3.
Interview with Mariusz Zarnowski (zrn)
That was in 2006, if I am not mistaken. While looking for a job in the Internet, I came across a website that described the rules of market trading with leverage. I found it interesting and decided to give it a try.
My first encounter with algorithmic trading was a few months later. I then got carried away even more, especially with the thought of being able to trade automatically using a robot. After a while, in 2007, I learned about the Automated Trading Championship and participated in it with one of my first robots. In about a year, when I gained some experience and start-up capital, I opened a real account.
Read the full text of the interview on the website of the Championship - Interview with Mariusz Zarnowski (zrn).
How did you got into trading in the Forex market?As December 28 is approaching, the list of leaders of the Automated Trading Championship 2012 is becoming clearer. With only two weeks to go until the end of the Championship, Mariusz Zarnowski (zrn) from Poland stands a good chance to be in the top three. His multi-currency Expert Advisor has already demonstrated how it can triple the initial deposit in just a couple of weeks. Mariusz is taking part in the Championship for the fourth time and has shared his exciting experiences with us in the below interview.
That was in 2006, if I am not mistaken. While looking for a job in the Internet, I came across a website that described the rules of market trading with leverage. I found it interesting and decided to give it a try.
My first encounter with algorithmic trading was a few months later. I then got carried away even more, especially with the thought of being able to trade automatically using a robot. After a while, in 2007, I learned about the Automated Trading Championship and participated in it with one of my first robots. In about a year, when I gained some experience and start-up capital, I opened a real account.
Read the full text of the interview on the website of the Championship - Interview with Mariusz Zarnowski (zrn).