Oh yeah it will. He said it, so I don't have to . He's almost right, but he underestimates the vitriole and scope of the bureau. The reporters are all gearing up for the Perp Walk. A little booze, cameras, mikes......... Couldn't happen to a nicer bunch.
Jim Cramer Blog
Shorts, Be Prepared to Defend in Court
By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist
9/25/2008 6:02 PM EDT
URL: http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/jimcramerblog/10439426.html
Notice how no shorts rose to the occasion today? Nobody put anything out to speak of? Perhaps it is the spreads on the puts. Perhaps it's the short-selling exposure, not just to the market but to the record-keeping.
Or perhaps it is justice, or more likely Justice, as I believe the hedge funds fear what's about to happen in this country. And you can't blame them. We are already seeing something big happening against the fallen firms; the FBI's making the calls.
When the FBI gets involved, the matter is not civil, it's criminal, and that's the Justice Department, not the SEC. That, of course, means SHOW TRIALS!
You can see it coming. There will be big trials of the people who ran AIG (AIG) and Lehman for allegedly not being honest about the financials. Same with Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) .
But the show trials that will rock Wall Street are the ones coming against the short-sellers. I foresee show trials of people who "got it right." Just like we had to have show trials of those behind Enron and Worldcom and those behind the IPO boom, we for certain are going to see trials of the people who profited from this crisis.
It will be wrong. It will be horrible. It will be a nightmare for people who did homework and figured out the worthlessness of a Lehman or an AIG.
But I know the government. The pressure to bring prosecutions against those who made money will be too great.
That's what I believe is initially behind the SEC rule to disclose your shorts. If they force you to disclose your short positions, they can then look back to see what you have done right. They will then ask for email correspondence, get the tapes of your comments to the trading desks and they will depose fired employees to try to nail you.
This is what they do. It is how they get their job done, and their job is not to find out who is innocent or guilty. That's an abstraction. An irrelevance. Their job is to bring in scalps and to make cases against people who may have been "in on it."
No, I am not saying destroy records. You will be found guilty immediately. I am not saying that you necessarily have to be worried because they are not going to go after everyone, just the biggest and the most vocal.
But I have, in my 25 years on the Street, seen it all.
I smell these trials. I smell the need for them.
And I just want to let people know how it works. Because I have been there -- read Confessions of a Street Addict, and it is all Kafka and very little truth.
But it will certainly end shorting much more quickly than any actual ban on shorting or paperwork on shorting, or larger spreads or a return of the uptick rule and the end of naked-short abuse.
Rough times lie ahead, shorts. Again, it is an abomination about what will occur. But if you believe they are going to call you in to give you the Congressional Medal of Short-Selling, it ain't going to happen.
Random musings: Senator Shelby is not to be trusted. He does seem intent on killing things. He has no idea what he could unleash here, and I can only hope his petulance can be contained.
At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.
Jim Cramer Blog
Shorts, Be Prepared to Defend in Court
By Jim Cramer
RealMoney.com Columnist
9/25/2008 6:02 PM EDT
URL: http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/jimcramerblog/10439426.html
Notice how no shorts rose to the occasion today? Nobody put anything out to speak of? Perhaps it is the spreads on the puts. Perhaps it's the short-selling exposure, not just to the market but to the record-keeping.
Or perhaps it is justice, or more likely Justice, as I believe the hedge funds fear what's about to happen in this country. And you can't blame them. We are already seeing something big happening against the fallen firms; the FBI's making the calls.
When the FBI gets involved, the matter is not civil, it's criminal, and that's the Justice Department, not the SEC. That, of course, means SHOW TRIALS!
You can see it coming. There will be big trials of the people who ran AIG (AIG) and Lehman for allegedly not being honest about the financials. Same with Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) .
But the show trials that will rock Wall Street are the ones coming against the short-sellers. I foresee show trials of people who "got it right." Just like we had to have show trials of those behind Enron and Worldcom and those behind the IPO boom, we for certain are going to see trials of the people who profited from this crisis.
It will be wrong. It will be horrible. It will be a nightmare for people who did homework and figured out the worthlessness of a Lehman or an AIG.
But I know the government. The pressure to bring prosecutions against those who made money will be too great.
That's what I believe is initially behind the SEC rule to disclose your shorts. If they force you to disclose your short positions, they can then look back to see what you have done right. They will then ask for email correspondence, get the tapes of your comments to the trading desks and they will depose fired employees to try to nail you.
This is what they do. It is how they get their job done, and their job is not to find out who is innocent or guilty. That's an abstraction. An irrelevance. Their job is to bring in scalps and to make cases against people who may have been "in on it."
No, I am not saying destroy records. You will be found guilty immediately. I am not saying that you necessarily have to be worried because they are not going to go after everyone, just the biggest and the most vocal.
But I have, in my 25 years on the Street, seen it all.
I smell these trials. I smell the need for them.
And I just want to let people know how it works. Because I have been there -- read Confessions of a Street Addict, and it is all Kafka and very little truth.
But it will certainly end shorting much more quickly than any actual ban on shorting or paperwork on shorting, or larger spreads or a return of the uptick rule and the end of naked-short abuse.
Rough times lie ahead, shorts. Again, it is an abomination about what will occur. But if you believe they are going to call you in to give you the Congressional Medal of Short-Selling, it ain't going to happen.
Random musings: Senator Shelby is not to be trusted. He does seem intent on killing things. He has no idea what he could unleash here, and I can only hope his petulance can be contained.
At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in stocks mentioned.