TA works, but not utilizing the most widely followed indications. The market is always out to inflict the most pain, so if everybody is following the most obvious trendline, it is doomed to get violated.
I found internal trendlines work very well, along with some Gann stuff I found. Fib still works well, especially the projections. Support and resistance levels are timeless.
For moving average, I plot both simple and exponential on the same chart. Sometimes the 20 day SMA is blown out, but the 20 EMA holds, sometimes the opposite, depending on the market.
Of course, the best question to ask yourself is "where are the stops"? The newbs put all their stops in the same places, so you know they will be targeted. This will produce many false breakouts, and is very tradeable at lower risk.
I think one can be a firm believer in TA and be a winning trader, but you have to be flexible and think out of the box, to use an old worn out cliche. Know thy enemy and catch a ride on their back.
I think AmbienCR is saying the same thing, but much more eloquently.
