Someone on this board said that SVB was predictable by the price action over the last two months.
If people had looked at the balance sheet in their last report they'd have seen this line:
“held to maturity.”
That would be their bonds at purchase price.
BUT.... even though they are not required to deduct the losses at the current value, as they would another loss, they are required to line item the current liquidation price, as applied to their balance sheet. Anyone could have spotted this on SVIB's latest report. They were not doing real well ratio wise.
Any analyst, or any bank geek at the likes of Citadel that knows these things, would have spotted this.
So whoever you referred to that stated price action foretold this.... they are probably right.... BUT.... there is a reason behind that price action... somewhere out there was a few smart cookies that caught it and started selling.
There's another post here about bottom fishing the sector.
That is an excellent idea.... but one must know what they are doing first, odds are... as ET members, they don't.
Smart money would suggest before buying any bank stock right now, pulling up the latest report, obviously of a regional, and then line item “available for sale” or “held to maturity” (again, these bonds that are underwater) as a ratio to their total depositor liabilities. The one with the lowest number wins.
I already did this. There's a few. Personally, I like 5th Third.