SPX has a distribution structure on the 5 min. Just sitting there between ~3840 and ~3830. It broke down the last 5 min of the day (very telling to me), with a failed re-test afterhours. Supply exists in droves right now. The ~9/8/16-11/4/16 time-frame provides a decent map for the expected move. A ton of traders calling the top back then, for what is your run of the mill 2-month pull back.
I expect a pull back in the coming weeks/months to the .32-.68 retracement of the November low (I'm roughly expecting 3550). A-B-C. I'm expecting a market melt-up afterward. SPX ~4500. NDX and RUT even more-so. Today, we got another bite at the hedge/short apple.
FWIW, I'm leveraged long RTY, and hedged short (same leverage) ES. Once the C move is done, I'll release the short. Happy trading.