Are we in a stock market bubble?

1957may10 said:
I was buying on February 23 and I was buying on March 23. Both were OK to me, can not say I am in perfect shape because I also have long positions however I did not sell them...
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Good judgement/discretion;
judgemental is not always a negative concept= looks like some trader/investors judge US is opening back up/Up for business...………………………………………………………………..
I wish I had sold my DDM for few cents more today, but getting close to 2;45 CST + I was afraid I would have to lower my bids/LOL worked out ok anyway.
Looks like 2009 trend ,down huge 2 months + then election year more or less good up trend . Paul tudor Jones thinks 2020 is like 1999= he may be right on that ; we'll see?? I think his judgement is good; even though 1999 had more///////// uptrends than 2009
 
never2old said:
Absolutely not, especially if it was always possible to time the market trade



could there be another correction looming, another buying opportunity - sell before the next drop ... it's a guessing game.?

did you buy on March 23 or sometime between Jan 2 - Feb 20?

my take is putting money into the stock market is a crap shoot, win some, lose some, total guessing game, at times HODL. Long term quality stocks should work out OK.

it's picking the the right ones that will make folks money in the short, medium or long term - you'd need next years market update today to be 100% right.

that's why some folks go with ETF's over single picks.

as for the folks that bought 4-weeks ago, it wasn't possible to know then that the market would come back - it could have gone the other direction.

for those that had the crystal ball on March 23, did OK, for those that bought on Feb 20 that didn't unload on March 23 are still waiting for the recovery.
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Unless you have a proven strategy, one that you have tested and know that it makes money in the long term, perhaps it loses money in the short term because no one can see the turns and twists of the market, but you know that sticking with it for the longer term will generate income, I know I have one, I was down 12% when the market was - 35%,but now I'm back in track
 
Nine_Ender said:
We're not in a bubble; there hasn't been an index wide bubble since the Nasdaq in 1999. Certain areas of the market may be in a bubble ( eg Canadian pot stocks last year, some IT firms are pretty rich now ). It's all irrelevant anyways even in January there were value stocks severely lagging the market and some of them are super cheap now. Some Canadian banks revisited price levels from the year 2010 and their earnings and dividends are much higher now.
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I think you should add 2008 us housing bubble, but I agree, this is not a bubble, it's going to be one for sure if the fed continues throwing money at the problem and cutting rates, that will create hyper inflation and a stock / bond market bubble, for the companies that will survive this..
 
murray t turtle said:
%%
Good judgement/discretion;
judgemental is not always a negative concept= looks like some trader/investors judge US is opening back up/Up for business...………………………………………………………………..
I wish I had sold my DDM for few cents more today, but getting close to 2;45 CST + I was afraid I would have to lower my bids/LOL worked out ok anyway.
Looks like 2009 trend ,down huge 2 months + then election year more or less good up trend . Paul tudor Jones thinks 2020 is like 1999= he may be right on that ; we'll see?? I think his judgement is good; even though 1999 had more///////// uptrends than 2009
More...
In that case we are in for another decade we don't want to miss $$$
 
Trade Prophet said:
I think you should add 2008 us housing bubble, but I agree, this is not a bubble, it's going to be one for sure if the fed continues throwing money at the problem and cutting rates, that will create hyper inflation and a stock / bond market bubble, for the companies that will survive this..
More...

How is P/E 24 based on GAAP is not a bubble?

How is that not a bubble as its valuation solely based on buybacks and a lot of them financed by debt?
if companies didn't use buyback P/E would be above 35 for S&P
it's all financial engineering
pretax S&P profits flat since 2015

of course, debt doesn't matter now as it all monetized by the Fed but it's still huge bubble no matter what
 
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kashirin said:
How is P/E 24 based on GAAP is not a bubble?

How is that not a bubble as its valuation solely based on buybacks and a lot of them financed by debt?
if companies didn't use buyback P/E would be above 35 for S&P
it's all financial engineering
pretax S&P profits flat since 2015

of course, debt doesn't matter now as it all monetized by the Fed but it's still huge bubble no matter what
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Good call... What kind of bubble you think this is?
 
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