I understand all of your percentages, but I've also watched XOM for a long time.You need 3-4% for the put to go ITM and the co had a solid beat and closed on the high. I would think the SPX would have to drop 3% to touch 111 and we have tech reporting later in the week (AAPL, GOOGL, AMZN). Reaction to Fed should be 1-1.5%. Any reaction >2% on Fed should be faded.
Maybe it has peaked, maybe any bad market reaction, maybe it will drop 5 points.
I know, that's a lot of maybes. I paid .71 for the puts, if there is any degree of negative reaction i can at least recoup some of my $