I qioute:
"Before I started reading about Volume Categories I had a notebook for exploring logical consequences of The Pattern. These explorations pointed me towards thinking about RTL abstractly. Since then instead of treating RTL as a static line on chart, I treat it as logical boundry that changes every time new pertinent data comes. When channels are treated as dynamic entities evolving with every significant tick, what seems to happen at the last move of the trend is that RTL of the dynamic carrier channel is "drawn" closer and closer to the RTL of the dynamic traverse within the carrier. At the point of FTT the two RTLs become equivalent. It creates a paradox (not unlike "this sentence is false"; see downward causality) because identity of the carrier now matches the identity of the traverse that supposed to be within that carrier and distinct from it."
My reply:
Mandelbrot is smilling. I use rtl for the Fast fractal and RTL for the middle slower fractal.
In trading, trend following does not work.
But in making money monitoring and analysis of trends is what is required.
Since you bagan posting, I have had an unusual opportunity to move into intermediate and expert monitoring and analysis.
As you see I have form dynomite to fission and soon we will address fusion. three very impactful energy levels.
By showing the four types of trending (two FBO's and two completing type trends). I have put "anticipation" quarely on the table and concurrently taken CW's "reaction" way off the table.
Notice Lucrum a big time ET "reactor" has cut his frequency of non posts hugely.
Big statement: Examining a convergence to limits of fractal is NOT productive. Fractal Theory gets viiolated and Keynesian aspects of complete sets of Hypotheses go away. you have to maintain "completeness" totally and you cannot stray from dealing with Hypotheses in an "in kind" manner.
You have grasp a CARDINAL aspect of fractals. All FTT's on all fractals happen concurrently. AND not all fractals do have FTT's at a given time.
This what create "anticipation" and does away with the potential of any losses ever. People who just read use a memory framework whereby they read things that are "unbelievable" to them. It is inappropriate to enter into your memory anything which you have not proven. Most of the CW of the financial industry is mythical. but myths are believed and as such they make proofs in the operation of the market "unbelievable".
The pattern is derived and proven. All ftt's and FTT's come from this proof. You "see" and "understand" the proof. So you have perception as well. Perception is 90% inderence and sensing is a small addend in the perception's sum.
The market has these four types of trends and their ends must be defined in four sets. There are some common elements in among the sets.
The elements in the sets are coordinates on a plane. one axis is turns and the other axis is the EE's (which already are found in ten subsets, and are unique in their subset).
In volume "c" turns are kindred to ftt's and FTT's as you may have concluded.
the cells in the plane are two term sequences where consequtive EE's are listed, One is the n-1 EE and the other is the "c" turn EE's.
The profit segment is a "c" to "c" money making experience.
By knowing that you knw the four types of trends, then you can anticipate the trend end two EE's before the end of the profit segment.
Today the market operation in ES e-mini had the following pairs.
Set A BO, T1 to Ab, LVBO (bar 40) and Ab, LVBO to PP3 (bar 42).
Set B NONE.
Set C BM, REV to BO, T1 (bar 65)
Set D BM, REV to BO, T1 (bar 34 and 53) and BO, T1 to Ah, LVBO (bar 80)
To see these on a chart, Use today's 5 min ES chart. to calculate net profits on each trade use the close or if you know how to do "lock in" use the lock in value for carving. If anyone does these notes on a chart, scan and print the chart in ET.
This shows how FBO's happen (set A) and how normal trends complete (set C) and how more lengthy trends "drift (Set D).
This is a probability discussion where the monitoing and analysis yield 100% probable trends and the upcoming end of the profit cycel is well known in advance. "Consistency" is easily achievable in trading. There is one pattern and it is proved.
Trends fail because they do NOT BO and becuase they get completedand have FTT's. By monitoring and analysis of the EE's in slower trends, you get to take the full offer of the market.