Apple: A Major Short 11-28-2008

Quote from Div_Arb:

My mother always told me never to short a strong stock. Whether you want to admit it or not, AAPL is a strong stock.


Just like GOOG, AOL, BRCM, CSCO, INTC, DELL, MSFT, RIMM, AMZN, EBAY werent they all EXTREMELY STRONG AT ONE TIME????????????????




Stocks DO NOT stay strong forever...
 
Quote from ByLoSellHi:

iPhone and Macbook sales will falter. iPhone suffering too much saturation and competition in recession; Macbook too pricey compared to PC competition, which is also suffering and undercuts Apple prices by widest margins in years even after Apple cuts prices.

Is this a trade you've taken?

A decline in the broader market could easily take AAPL below $80. But IMO Apple won't underperform the market by much, and might well overperform. If you do a straight specs comparison of Apple's products versus the competition, the former has always been tremendously overpriced. They can get away with it because the kids who buy ipods, iphones, macbooks etc. do so because it's something of a fad, not because of price. Bargain-hunters never turned to Apple to begin with, so they won't be turned away by price competition.
 
Quote from S2007S:

Just like GOOG, AOL, BRCM, CSCO, INTC, DELL, MSFT, RIMM, AMZN, EBAY werent they all EXTREMELY STRONG AT ONE TIME????????????????




Stocks DO NOT stay strong forever...

yea but those are the stocks most likely to rebound the most when the market does
 
Quote from S2007S:

AAPL is headed lower, no company is going to avoid this deep recession, I dont care what the balance sheet looks like that someone pointed out. AAPL is headed to 75, if christmas sales are weak across the board and earnings are lowered AAPL to sub $60 levels.

Oh God - you again.

7700 bear posts.

And you don't trade...

And you probably don't have any AAPL position...
 
I wonder if folks looking for long-term, big-dollar short profits on AAPL have thought about the implications of such a bet for the broader market. This is a company with one of the best balance sheets in the world - I have no problem seeing it touch $60 - or roughly 2x cash - but then we're probably talking about < 400 on the SPX.

Given the current volatility levels, saying it should see $80 when it is already around $90 isn't even a "call" - such a small move barely even qualifies as background noise.

All IMO, etc.

Disclosure: short AAPL puts, net price if assigned is in the upper $60s.
 
Quote from stock_trad3r:

aapl going back to 200 soon. google 750 soon

Yeah baby!!!

The bait just got snatched!!!

head_up_your_ass2.jpg
 
Quote from Random.Capital:



Disclosure: short AAPL puts, net price if assigned is in the upper $60s.

Now THAT sounds like a good trade!

What's BLSHi's position in AAPL?
 
Ouch! :eek:

I suppose AAPL will be even more of a major short when it hits $100! :D

Now if you were to show that you actually were holding shorts in AAPL when you told everyone they should short AAPL, then I'd stop ribbin' ya and offer you some sincere sympathy (or at least let this thread slide away into silent death).
 
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