Apparently the sky is falling

fibo_trader said:
Who knows but it might help. If it does not, hey no biggie, but if it does, that I had something to do with it is all the remuneration I need. :).

When in similar market junctures. ... as 2018-2019

ignore TV, ignore who's having sex with whom, who stock bought back and all the bla bla bla associated with HERD gossip, trash talk and EsPecIaLLy ET. Especially ignore Fundamental anal-ysis

Rules: (at major top/bottom junctures)

(1). Warren Buffet. Blood in street = Buy. ..... Euphoria/complacency = SELL

(2). ET. ..... do the opposite of the consensus here. ET is a prison sentence, you want to do your time and split.

(3). How to combine Warren with TA? Only 1 tool required. Vix. Place side by side with SPX for market direction before you go stock hunting

(4) Do your homework on all frames, M, W, D, RT. Vix leads. Fear/complacency is a dead giveaway of the HERd. Trendline in Vix is all you need. Now go to 2007 top, 2015 top, 2018 & 2019 and examine Vix. Its all about fear and greed/complacency. Warren does not do technicals but he had this concept down COLD. Now, with Vix, you can easily beat him because he does not have timing but you do.

With Vix as your weaponry you can trade from a nice hi rise fully stacked condo with stunning view of Copacabana or Ipanema beach, or anywhere else for that matter - but Brazil is hard to beat and the soft stuff is ultra-feminine with tantalizing accents and tone





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points 3 & 4 above: Vix demontrated on oh. oh soooooo blunt a timeframe as the Weekly. The most stupendous LEADING indicator of the modern world fraught wth emotions sooooooo deep, only champion Vix catches and captures it all


Vix gave 4th wave warning to prepare for reversal in August 2017

Then Vix gave trendline breakout in December2017

All way way way BEFORE the Jan 26, 2018 Stock market Top.

Leading indicator par excellence. :). :)


But wait it gets better. Fibo golden ratio hit November 2017.

What more can one ask for.? lose Longs and retreat to bear cave or go Short.

Vix dnn't mess around. He gots the Herd brain in spades.

Therefore Warren Buffet + Vix = match made in Heaven
 
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Thread reminder:


Thread title .... Apparently the Sky is falling. ....


which in itself scores a Herd sentiment bullish 96% score. Warren would liquidate all Longs in a jiffy.


Already fallen. Wake up. You fellas are always the LAST to know or find out.

Good luck. :)
 
Stockolio said:
Do you know how much money there is to be made in a recession through PUTs if you get the trade and timing right ? I am shorting Bonds, which is suicide normally, but I am that sure of it... Jaime N Charlie took there 12 million and blasted it in CDS, ending up with 150 million from an original 110k years earlier

http://www.timelessinvestor.com/201...10000-into-12-million-using-value-investment/

Burry has since said, "I don't go out looking for good shorts. I'm spending my time looking for good longs. I shorted mortgages because I had to. Every bit of logic I had led me to this trade and I had to do it
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Let us know how things work out.:D
 
Thread title: Apparently the sky is falling

2004 Indonesia Tsunami first sent warning by virtue of the receding waters. ET members were swimming in the water at that time and were shocked to have another Warren Buffet indicator apply, "when the tide goes out you see who is swimming naked". ..... despite this they were heard to have remarked in unison, " dear god, the beach is now sooooo large, let's explore, its a NEW ERA".


The first wave came-d and scared the daylights out of them. But they were sooooo sold on the NEW ERA thinking, they soon forgot about the first wave of the tsunami.

Then came the 2nd wave. They were never heard from again.
 
Thread title: Apparently the sky is falling


Tsunamis travel across open ocean at approx. 500 mph. The wave lambda is so puny that nobody would notice it in open waters. So there are no adverse side effects out in the o-shun.

But boy oh boy just wait for the breakout. The wave lambda needs the ground distance to perform its magic.

- .... ....... ........ ....



It came with a surrealistic slowness ... so gradually that on the one hand it was possible to live through a good part of it without realizing that it was happening and on the other hand, it was possible to believe one had experienced and survived it when in fact it had no more than just begun.
 
Stockolio said:
Do you know how much money there is to be made in a recession through PUTs if you get the trade and timing right ? I am shorting Bonds, which is suicide normally, but I am that sure of it... Jaime N Charlie took there 12 million and blasted it in CDS, ending up with 150 million from an original 110k years earlier

http://www.timelessinvestor.com/201...10000-into-12-million-using-value-investment/

Burry has since said, "I don't go out looking for good shorts. I'm spending my time looking for good longs. I shorted mortgages because I had to. Every bit of logic I had led me to this trade and I had to do it
More...



Correct, Sir. You will make a bloody fortune. You and only you may go in Peace, all your sins are forgiven.

Father, behold this boy. Let him proceed with his journey. You hold his future as a CONTRARIAN in your hands. Mark his House with the light of the Holy Spirit so that the Angel of Death bypasses it.
 
BONECRUSHER said:
I like what you're doing. Dollar cost averaging over a long time period is a great move. I did the same thing and it paid off.

Something that may happen to you as your age and account go higher and higher. As your account gets closer and closer to that million dollar mark, you may get more sensitive to the possibility of a bear market than you use to be when you were younger and less wealthy. It's not easy to watch $900k in retirement turn into $450k within a year, so it won't always be so simple and easy. Having much more to lose can play havoc on you mentally.
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BONECRUSHER,

It's been very simple for me the past 10 years, I don't even check my account but once a year to increase my monthly contributions by 2% each year with all money going directly to the SP 500 index, then I logout. When my account get to a million dollars, then I move the million to cash only. Simple, Easy, and less stressful and most importantly less confusion. I just check my account today and my account is up over 10% for the year so far. This is easy.

Bear market my ass, I'm sticking to girl I came to the party with. Long and Strong.
 
SimpleMeLike said:
BONECRUSHER,



Bear market my ass, I'm sticking to girl I came to the party with. Long and Strong.
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Finally an ET oldtimer comes up and states unequivocally that he is SUPER Long. I like this very much. :). :)

But his brethren, the Herd might not like it that this fella has made a definitive confession. There might be consequences like shunning, ostracizing, cussing directed at him

But the entire site is super Long. So everyone here is aligned 100%. So Simple's statement in effect is nothing new, i.e. same-o same-o.

As stated before the Crowd sentiment sits at a lofty 99%+++.

To be revisited down the road apiece. Peace to all
 
The crowd in action against a contrarian. Note that a crowd by definition has no individuality, it is one unit yes, but a a unit made up of crushed, crestfallen lost souls.

The crown has no clue about the deep creativity and courage that resides in the heart of the contrarian.


 
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