It is Friday and weekly opex, and rumor has it Captain Sully Sullenberger has been hired to bring $SPY down on runway $380 or as close as only he can pilot her to the mark. Godspeed, Captain.
Will take much off with limit order that is sitting at $3725 which is a bit of a front run of my $3726.75 target.
rotffB1? Is that you?
![]()
It may or may not get there by Jan opex, and it may not get there at all:
Anything Can Happen™
It is math, not emotion, and it is the way things have been working for years. I trade like no one you know. It is math and price action and it is stunningly accurate. And let's not skip the most important conditional at the preface of the $AAPL post: "IF ..."
Let me define a "break and hold:" A stock must break above the stated level and close there. It must then follow through with a higher high than the breakout day and maintain the close above the breakout level. Now, how one chooses to trade based upon that should depend upon one's own back testing and risk tolerance and blah blah blah.
But no exuberance here, brother. Math, not emotion.
Be the Algo™
GC will be away for a bit working on a project but as someone who trades with him I can answer your question. With respect to retracements, it's more general zones rather than actual Fib numbers eg., 1/3-2/3 with 50% while not a Fib number is a sweet spot. Retracements are of course viewed within the context of price structure. Fib extension targets are relevant as the institutional algo's like to target them.Read your journal, fun reading.
I would guess that your maths employs Fib extensions and retracements based on the levels I saw.
You sound like you are getting exuberant. AAPL at $172 by middle January, 2021 is over a 400% annualized return on the underlying. Although if it did happen, Apple would certainly drag major indexes along with it. From investopedia.org:
Apple's Weighting In Key Indexes, ETFs