Anyone trade FCOJ?

If you are looking for fundamental news play in the commodity space, here is an other one. I just shorted Cotton Dec17/Mar18 @ 1.85 based on yesterday crop conditions. It seems the rally was a late response to Harvey crop damage whereas the good/excellent condition has actually improved 1 point since last week...

Cotton, since late 2014 going long many stabs, hoping March 2016 lows hold, maybe this one finally pays off for very long term trading.
 
What justifies that smugness? Seriously... Is OJ now just going to go down over the next week?
No smugness.... came off wrong.
To answer the question ... its not going up too much farther. Based on the (100%) knowledge that people who make their living trading this stuff were on top of it long before we were.
 
It's awfully thin and the bid/ask is gappy...it'll swell up to five ticks or more. It tightens up but still makes trading a bit sloppy. Even with the price jump from Irma FCOJ prices have been much higher.

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Hmm... Better hope for >= 50 m/ph winds.... How powerful are the winds of Irma?
PS I am eyeing this thread today....
 
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Closed also the short front month cotton spread@ 1.7. Bad R/R. It was a good trade at inception but couldn't predict Irma would be that strong...Still profitable though
 
Hmm... Better hope for >= 50 m/ph winds.... How powerful are the winds of Irma?
PS I am eyeing this thread today....

Check out St Maarten and Barbuda after Irma. It should be mellower in Florida but still...
 
Just went long at the open @ 151.8. Small position.

Just exited at the open @ 154.7. Irma seems mellower than I thought and the front spread went straight down at the open. You can laugh at me if it goes to 160 + today...LOL
 
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