Quote from martinking:
As there is no edge in guessing currency direction like everyone else [/B]
Quote from martinking:
It's a waste of time without an edge in fx however [/B]
Quote from Nashequilibrium:
That is a large piece of ground you are trying to cover there. Doyou have any quantitative or anecdotal evidence to back this up? There are many ways to have an edge in directional trading, especially in the fx market. We can still break this down into so many sub-categories in terms of different types of analyses.
I still don't get your point on the 400:1 leverage as well.

Quote from martinking:
Yes.
The very existence of bucket shops proves that no one ever beats the house by directional trading without an edge such as knowing how to beat the house --no thats not redundant!
analysis works for the 50% of the time it works, might as well guess..
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Quote from Nashequilibrium:
You logic is incorrect. I think you know this yourself, since your mistake is very elementry.
Quote from martinking:
nope, 400 traders through the door with magic formulas and claimed edge--- 1, thats right 1 had anything worthwhile that actually made money in the long run--and it had to do with exploiting a loophole within the brokers system.
Take a look at Collective 2 forex systems over the longer term, if ya dont believe me...
Quote from Nashequilibrium:
Take a look at IASG or autumn gold and look at the fx traders and see ho many ou find profitable. You need to look at where you are drawing your candidates from, most traders who really have an edge will not be found on collective 2 or automated trading competitions, most of these people just throw stuff against the wall to see what sticks. Grabage in garbage out. Maybe get some traders from wilmott or nuclear phynance, i am pretty sure you will get guys with some edges there, but to make a general statement that all fx traders are loosers or directional trading has no alpha makes no sense. Especially if collective 2 is your source of info.