Quote from novel20:
Thanks for the clarification, Steve.
Have you accounted for the commissions?
Look forward to your new trades.
Thanks for responding to my inquiry.![]()
Quote from steve13smith:
Rumor had it that a thread was unspooling regarding the recent poor performance of the TSCM OptionAlert model portfolio. I figured I should show up, be accountable and hopefully clarify some performance questions
Since the inception date of July 18. 2005 (call it 7 months) the model portfolio is up 4.5%- and yes that includes the recent losses. Yes, that is down from 17% just two weeks ago. So yes
the last two weeks have been terrible in terms of performance. The reason? I've simply been wrong. All positions have been of a limited risk. Anyone who has traded for any period of time will encounter some bad stretches; doesn't make it any less painful. I take the responsibility and implications of publishing investment ideas very seriously and am the first to acknowledge when I am not performing up to my own or anyones expectations.
But be clear, you mention four recent trades; that is four out of some 60 that have been suggested in the past seven months. And you don't quite have the facts straight on those four.
HAR was indeed a bust but you fail to note that I had rolled down the short $120 calls to the $115 strike. the loss was $3,900 not $6,000
ERTS was also rolled down; covered $60 calls and sold Feb. $55C. Position is still open and about $2,700 in the red not the $3,300.
AMZN was a bad trade. I'll say no more.
HRB is still open. Calls bought for 85 cents now at 65 with a five weeks remaining. Not ready to call that a big loser yet.
You also fail to acknowledge that during the last two weeks we have had profitable trades in AXP $52.50 calendar spread, long SPY $127 puts, which we took partial profit by selling some this morning's sell-off, and an open position in BZH (short Feb. $65 puts at $1.95) that is currently showing about a $700 profit. For full disclosure I just took a loss in CVH $60 calls. Which hopefully puts an end to a very trying two weeks.
This was way more then I intended to write and probably more than anyone cares to read. But felt I should put in my two cents while I still have a few of them to give![]()
CoachPhil, thx for the nice words and hope to see you out on the playing field.
-steve
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Quote from novel20:
liulala, read my response to DonnaV about cherry picking the suggested trades by option alert.
In short, if you are better than Steve such that you think you can cherry pick his suggested trades, then you don't need to subscribe to the option alert.
And if you are the 50/50 normal people (which I am pretty sure you are), just follow their whole porfolio in the same proportion in your account.