You are missing an important player: oracle. Without support of chainlink, lending and AMM protocols will collapse and so will the prices of all assets. It will be extremely cheap to do 51% attack on gov tokens to steal all the funds from liquidity pools.
Additionally, do you think there is enough liquidity to handle the massive dumping pressure of these tokens on the old chain?
Yuga Labs has outright stated that they will only recognize assets on PoS. Though, I do see some people will speculate and buy assets on the old chain; provided there will be a marketplace for NFT on ETHW?
What is my play? Leverage up my ETH holding and dump on fork. The risk/reward ratio is not there to hold onto ETHW. There just isn't enough liquidity in the current market condition to absorb the market sell flow.
In case you haven't noticed, all the big bois have been max bid spot ETH and put quarterly. Guess what they are going to do after the merge? Hint: that put premium is not cheap.
I believe LooksRare is a decentralized smartcontract NFT market place
There are a few small Oracles besides chainlink, but honestly, chainlink smart contracts will exist on ETHW and it's actually an effort to shut them down
Same with all other platforms like Uniswap, AAVE and Sushiswap
What's the incentive to submit *IP's to shut the platforms down? If I'm part of the dev team for Sushiswap, LFG, collect these tokens which may be worth little now, but who knows could go up in price
Yuga Labs will not develop stuff for the NFT's, i.e. Metaverse, or others, but if you own the NFT's on ETHW, the community can still build on that, i.e. all their Apefest or in the case of cryptopunk, nothing at all (joke tounge in cheek)
As far as the big bois, that's a plus, not a minus
Small guys get the start on the very beginning with very very low prices. The big bois will dump their crypto assets since they don't believe in ETHW, we will buy YFI tokens or whatever tokens for pennies as they dump
Now, the small guys will start yield farming and trading degen on dexes using very cheap tokens, anyone can play
with enough activity and users from ETH start spending more time, who knows
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But let's be clear, even the person in the article I posted is saying it has a very small chance of not being doomed
I'm the only one putting a bigger chance and I'm most likely wrong
But this is different than the failed fork ETC
Defi summer, NFT explosion, crypto gaming blockchain projects all happened on ETH and no benefit to ETC
ETHW will get all of those things above. All we need are the users to use them and the attraction is very very cheap prices for all crypto assets on ETHW blockchain versus ETH blockchain
PS, we want the ETH maxis to dump their erc-xxx tokens on ETHW market place. If they don't dump, how are we going to get them for very very cheap prices?
