Anyone here have positive expectancy based on your last 500 trades

H

high-performance

It's very important that a trader achieves positive expectancy after 100 trades.

As for monte carlo its is a very powerful tool that can predict whether a trader will be profitable based on his trades.

Anyone can make a profit in a trade it's whether a trader can be net profitable after 500 trades. or an investors is profitable in the long run.

With monte carlo system you can still be profitable with being right only 55% of the time.

I have updated my spreadsheet s there was some error calculations in short and long that I made for myself as it's custom made trading spreadsheet.

free download and up for beta testing.

http://www.marketcentral.ca/expectancy/traderecord.xlsx

Just enter your 100 trades and you get your trader expectancy. An positive means you are profitable negative, not profitable.

Monte Carlo is what high frequency traders and gamblers use and can be applies in many industries to predict outcomes.

https://www.daytradinglife.com/wp-c.../DTL-Monte-Carlo-Trading-Simulator-v1.01.xlsm
 
We have positive expectancy on over 1000 most recent trades. I stressed here many times while pshycology, money management and many other things are important, the most important is expectancy. You do not have it, non else matters.

we trading fully algorithmic, commodities markets only.
 
too many traders or investors try to be right all the time.
you can still make money if you are wrong 55% of the time or still lose money if you are right 75% of the time in trading in the long run after 500 trades.
 
Last edited:
high-performance said:
It's very important that a trader achieves positive expectancy after 100 trades.

As for monte carlo its is a very powerful tool that can predict whether a trader will be profitable based on his trades.

Anyone can make a profit in a trade it's whether a trader can be net profitable after 500 trades. or an investors is profitable in the long run.

With monte carlo system you can still be profitable with being right only 55% of the time.

I have updated my spreadsheet s there was some error calculations in short and long that I made for myself as it's custom made trading spreadsheet.

free download and up for beta testing.

http://www.marketcentral.ca/expectancy/traderecord.xlsx

Just enter your 100 trades and you get your trader expectancy. An positive means you are profitable negative, not profitable.

Monte Carlo is what high frequency traders and gamblers use and can be applies in many industries to predict outcomes.

https://www.daytradinglife.com/wp-c.../DTL-Monte-Carlo-Trading-Simulator-v1.01.xlsm
More...

Wow...you're still pumping that website here ???

In reference to your constantly posting the link for marketcentral.ca

wrbtrader
 
RedDuke said:
We have positive expectancy on over 1000 most recent trades. I stressed here many times while psychology, money management and many other things are important, the most important is expectancy. You do not have it, non else matters.

we trading fully algorithmic, commodities markets only.
More...
RedDuke,

You are are 1000% correct.

For example, a doctor has heart surgeon on 10 patients and all 10 patients get sick after the surgery.

The doctor will not say "I need to work on my psychology or mindset"

The mindset and psychology stuff is bullshit. If I take 1000 trades and make money, all I have to do is take 1000 more trades and make money.
 
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