Trader Daily
The Big Hurt
One person's good trade is, by definition, another's bad one. After a year of record earnings, we tally the slip side -- the 10 biggest losses of 2005 -- and what the rest of us can learn from their mistakes. By Rich Blake and Andrew Barber with Alex Koppelman
By: Rich Blake , Alex Koppelman , A.D. Barber
Issue: June/July 2006 , Page 76
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Article Tools
Print this page
Send to a friend
Subscribe
Page 1 of 4 » Next
Feature Package
From where we stand -- unleveraged, with pens and notebooks, not billions -- there's some honor in losing hundreds of millions (along with irate clients and, in some cases, more free time).
With the exceptions of the rare frauds and clerical mistakes, you must be one hell of a player to have both the reputation to control that much money and the fortitude to trade it. Besides, massive losses offer one thing that massive gains don't: lessons to make you a better trader. Winners, after all, generally make it slow and steady. As is evident from this roundup, a huge loss often stems from one or two really bad ideas. Let the pain begin.
Spreads contracted to nearly nothing. Relative-value portfolios got gored.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oh, Henry!
John Henry's futures-trading prowess is unquestioned. But boy, did the Boston Red Sox owner strike out in 2005.
Losses stung eight of nine strategies at John W. Henry & Company, with the firm's Original Investment Program down 27.6 percent. The flagship Strategic Allocation Program, which had $1.7 billion (at least it did at the end of 2005), lost 19.2 percent. Mainstay energy and metals bets weren't the problem, but heavy losses on bond and currency bets burned the Boca Raton, Floridaâbased icon.
"This performance was an aberration in JWH's nearly 25-year history," wrote president Mark Rzepczynski in a letter to clients at the start of this year. He later told Trader Monthly, "We are shaping up to have a good 2006."
Indeed, smart money seems to be sticking with Henry, even though his portfolio continued to suffer through the first quarter, prompting the managed-futures kingpin to retool and even reduce leverage. Maybe that's a good explanation as to why the Bosox couldn't afford to re-sign Johnny Damon
TOTAL ESTIMATED LOSS: $500 million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vega Bomb
Vega Asset Management entered 2005 on top of the world. With $11 billion under management, strong performance and luxurious new headquarters under construction, the caballeros from Madrid were living high and wide -- until the U.S. yield curve flattened, that is.
When bond-market spreads contracted to nearly nothing, Vega's relative-value portfolios, managed by Ravinder Mehra and Jesus Saa Requejo, got gored. "Credit spreads blew out," says a rival. "These guys were most likely short treasuries and long corporates." Almost by definition, such a strategy has to be leveraged, so Vega might have been forced to endure twice the pain. At the same time, a dearth of opportunities dragged down performance for the firm's macro portfolio, helping spur customer redemptions.
Faced with mounting redemptions, the remaining traders at Vega soldiered on. While assets under management have declined to $7 billion, it would be premature to write off Vega just yet: Last year was the first losing year in its nearly quarter-century existence. Hey, we've heard that one before.
TOTAL ESTIMATED LOSS: $350â$500 million
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Misery at Mizuho
In early December, a single botched sell order in Japan caused the price of one firm's IPO to collapse, throwing the entire Tokyo Stock Exchange into turmoil and costing one of the country's largest brokerage firms a bundle.
A trader at Mizuho Securities accidentally entered an order to sell 610,000 shares of J-Com at 1 yen instead of one share at the debut price of 610,000 yen. Mizuho's electronic trading platform accepted the trade, and the Tokyo Stock Exchange's system executed, hammering the stock on its debut day and providing a free lunch for traders who snapped up shares at bargain prices. The ensuing fracas drove down the share price of Mizuho's parent company and led to the resignation of exchange president Takuo Tsurushima and two other executives.
After pressure from Japanese politicians, who condemned the actions of traders who profited from the sell-off, more than 50 firms and investors agreed to bust their trades. Just as many decided to keep the money, however, locking in a big loss for Mizuho.
In January, Mizuho announced pay cuts for the bank's top executives and a "reprimand" of the trader who executed the fatal order. In Japan, it seems, lifelong job security remains alive and well.
TOTAL ESTIMATED LOSS: $300â$350 million