If I were a gamblin' man, I'd say the jig is up and the Feds will move on these rumor guys. I don't know if you've been watching CNBC, but even Cramer is screaming. It would seem the Feds have a choice. They can move off the Najarian information, where 90,000 puts eminated from one Hedgie just before the rumors flew, or they can lose Lehman. I think they have enough egg on their Gummint Faces.
That being said, I can read what a hedgie will do. What the Government will do is a wild card.