Quote from AK Forty Seven:
Anyone who thought that the Birth Certificate conspiracy was going to get Obama out of office,that The SC was going to overturn Obamacare,that unskewed polls was correct is not vaguely in touch with reality.
Obama fired the top General in Afghanistan over a magazine interview,He fired The head of The CIA over an affair.The military and CIA does not bully Obama around,that should be clear.Other Generals have been far more disrespectful to Presidents before being fired.Patreaus and Mccrystal were 2 of the highest ranking and most respected Generals of recent times and Obama cut them no slack when they only slightly fucked up yet you think Generals are going tell Obama that they are going to send troops into a sovereign nation to kill Bin Laden without his permission ? Come back to reality Jem
1. I have no idea why you are bring up the generals.
2. The supreme ct just told the lower court to revisit obamacare
so you may be completely wrong on this one.
3. My main thesis when the thread started is that the polls which oversampled dems by more than the 2008 templated were slanted.
I was very correct. I unskewed those polls and said the properly template was between the 2010 results or the 2008... I felt as you got closer to either one... you were partisan.... I clearly stated that right before the election. So I was 100 percent correct.
I also said if it were me I would use one that skewed to republicans... because Obama was going to get fewer votes and Romney would get more... I was half right and half wrong.
In short... I was wrong about Romney winning but I was completely right in saying polls skewing more dem than 2008 were biased...
4. background on 3 and new info to me...
http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/23/gop-turnout-myths-and-reality/
In the immediate aftermath of the election, Republicans slammed Mitt Romney for not being able to match the popular vote totals of John McCain, but many forgot that the full totals in the popular vote take a few weeks to finalize. This past week, Romneyâs totals surpassed McCainâs in an election that had a smaller overall turnout, Kimberly Strassel reports for the Wall Street Journal â and Romney did significantly better in swing states than the GOP did in 2008 as well (via Scott Johnson at Power Line):
Mr. Romney beat Mr. McCainâs numbers in every single battleground, save Ohio. In some cases, his improvement was significant. In Virginia, 65,000 more votes than in 2008. In Florida, 117,000 more votes. In Colorado, 52,000. In Wisconsin, 146,000. Moreover, in key states like Florida, North Carolina, Colorado and Virginia, Mr. Romney turned out even more voters than George W. Bush did in his successful re-election in 2004.
By contrast, Mr. Obamaâs turnout was down from 2008 in nearly every battleground. He lost 54,000 votes in Virginia, 46,000 votes in Florida, 50,000 votes in Colorado, 63,000 votes in Wisconsin. Ditto Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio. The only state where Mr. Obama increased his votes (by 36,000) was North Carolina, and he was still beaten by a Romney campaign that raised its own turnout by a whopping 147,000.
The notion of an enthusiasm gap among Republicans compared to 2008 is therefore a myth, one suggested by incomplete data the day after the election. So what happened? Did Romney just run out of time, or was Obamaâs downturn just short of bad enough to lose? Not exactly, Strassel argues. The demographic data shows that Democrats boosted voter turnout where it counted, and where Republicans didnât bother to seriously compete:
Because what ought to scare the GOP is this: Even with higher GOP turnout in key states, even with Mr. Obama shedding voters, Democrats still won. Mr. Obama accomplished this by tapping new minority voters in numbers that beat even Mr. Romneyâs better turnout.
In Florida, 238,000 more Hispanics voted than in 2008, and Mr. Obama got 60% of Hispanic voters. His total margin of victory in Florida was 78,000 votes, so that demographic alone won it for him. Or consider Ohio, where Mr. Romney won independents by 10 points. The lead mattered little, though, given that black turnout increased by 178,000 votes, and the president won 96% of the black vote. Mr. Obamaâs margin of victory there was 103,000. â¦
Republicans right now are fretting about Mr. Romneyâs failures and the partyâs immigration platformâthatâs fair enough. But equally important has been the partyâs mind-boggling failure to institute a competitive Hispanic ground game. The GOP doesnât campaign in those communities, doesnât register voters there, doesnât knock on doors. So while pre-election polling showed that Hispanics were worried about Obama policies, in the end the only campaign that these voters heard fromâby email, at their door, on the phoneâwas the presidentâs.
In order to win national elections, Republicans have to compete in all communities. That doesnât mean pandering, but it does mean putting free-market, small-government philosophies and slogans into concrete policy proposals that will improve the lives of voters. Itâs not enough to talk about empowering investors to take risk in the American economy; we need to talk about how we can encourage that investment to go into urban centers to revitalize neighborhoods and create jobs. We need to commit to school choice and educational reform, in combination with a shift in control away from federal mandates (and the costly administration they require) to the local school boards and parents. We have to have specific policy proposals on the table and the commitment to follow through on them.
Until we remember what Jack Kemp figured out two decades ago, we will never compete for those votes, and end up with a massive handicap in national elections.