Agreed.Thats why I told Optionpro 007 to wait until trump acutally reduced the trade deficit before congratulating him for it.
This much I do know:
1. For twenty-four years the Chinese have had their way entirely.
2. The Chinese success to date, and the Chinese projections for future growth - is entirely dependent on their ability to maintain and grow a Trading relationship with the US.
3. The Chinese take in $489B in US Dollars every six months. Bottom line: the Chinese are boxed into a corner. They need deep liquid markets denominated in US dollars. Outside the US their options are extremely limited. That means US sovereign debt (they can’t buy US Corporations) and huge quantities of high quality spec deliverable US commodities.
4. The Chinese operate a high functioning Government department which throttles the flows of the Yuan and its valuation against the US dollar - an alternative description is “manipulation”. Here the Chinese have forced themselves into the tightest box - they need a strong US dollar and a weaker Yuan to maintain and grow - yet their stated public Communist Party goal is for the Yuan to become the ‘world’s reserve currency”. Which is impossible. The US Dollar and the Swiss Franc are in total complete absolute float.
5. If you can turn millions into billions then yeah you are an accomplished businessman. Fuck you if you think otherwise. To convert millions to billions multiply by 1,000. As if Mark Cuban wasn’t a self aggrandizing narcissist himself. Isn’t Shark Tank a “reality” TV Show?
6. Trump is entirely cognizant of items 1- 4, and he has some very heavy hitting negotiators on that shit. I’m sure that this is an entirely different counterparty and reality than the Chinese are accustomed.
7. Civil servants without considerable (monetary) private sector success employed as trade negotiators are worse than useless. The mindset would be completely subordinate to US national interests.